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In a binomial situation \(n=5\) and \(\pi=.40 .\) Determine the probabilities of the following events using the binomial formula. a. \(x=1\) b. \(x=2\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 0.2592, b) 0.3456

Step by step solution

01

Identify the binomial distribution parameters

We are given the parameters of a binomial situation: the number of trials, \(n=5\), and the probability of success in each trial, \(\pi=0.40\). The variable \(x\) represents the number of successes in these trials. We need to find the probabilities for \(x=1\) and \(x=2\).
02

Apply the binomial probability formula

The binomial probability formula is given by: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot \pi^k \cdot (1-\pi)^{n-k} \]where \(k\) is the number of successes we are looking to find the probability for.
03

Calculate the probability for \(x=1\)

Plug in the values for \(x=1\) into the formula:\[ P(X = 1) = \binom{5}{1} \cdot (0.40)^1 \cdot (0.60)^{5-1} \]Calculate each part:- \(\binom{5}{1} = 5\)- \(0.40^1 = 0.40\)- \(0.60^4 = 0.1296\)Multiply them together:\[ P(X = 1) = 5 \cdot 0.40 \cdot 0.1296 = 0.2592 \]
04

Calculate the probability for \(x=2\)

Plug in the values for \(x=2\) into the formula:\[ P(X = 2) = \binom{5}{2} \cdot (0.40)^2 \cdot (0.60)^{5-2} \]Calculate each part:- \(\binom{5}{2} = 10\)- \(0.40^2 = 0.16\)- \(0.60^3 = 0.216\)Multiply them together:\[ P(X = 2) = 10 \cdot 0.16 \cdot 0.216 = 0.3456 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability
In simple terms, probability is the measure of the chance that a particular event will occur. It's a way to quantify uncertainty. In terms of numbers, probability ranges from 0 to 1. A probability of 0 indicates an impossible event, while a probability of 1 means the event will definitely happen.
For instance, if we say there is a 30% chance of rain, we express this as a probability of 0.30. It's important to understand that all probabilities must add up to 1. This ensures all possible outcomes of a trial or situation are accounted for.
When dealing with the binomial distribution, we often deal with events that have two possible outcomes: success or failure. The probability of success is denoted by \( \pi \), and the probability of failure is \( 1 - \pi \). Consequently, the probability of an event with all its possible occurrences can be calculated accurately using given probability values.
Binomial Formula
The binomial formula is a key tool for calculating the probability of a given number of successes in a fixed number of trials. It's especially useful when each trial has two possible outcomes. The formula is given by:\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot \pi^k \cdot (1-\pi)^{n-k} \] where:
  • \( P(X = k) \) is the probability of observing exactly \( k \) successes
  • \( n \) is the number of independent trials
  • \( k \) is the number of successes in these trials
  • \( \pi \) is the probability of success in each trial
The component \( \binom{n}{k} \) represents the number of combinations of \( n \) trials taken \( k \) at a time. Understanding each element of the formula helps in plugging in the right values to get the desired probability.
For example, when \( n = 5 \), \( \pi = 0.40 \), and we want to find the probability for \( k = 1 \) success, the formula reveals the probability of that specific outcome, bringing complex situations down to simple calculations.
Number of Trials
The number of trials, denoted by \( n \), is a fundamental component in binomial experiments. It represents the number of times the experiment is repeated. In a binomial distribution, each trial should be independent, meaning the result of one trial shouldn't influence another.
For example, consider flipping a coin five times. Here, the number of trials is 5. Each flip, a trial, has two outcomes: heads (success) or tails (failure). When performing such experiments, the outcomes can vary in each trial, but the number of trials \( n \) remains constant as defined initially.
The total number of trials determines the magnitude of the calculation in the binomial distribution. In our given problem, knowing that \( n = 5 \) allows us to computationally explore scenarios like what's the probability of getting a certain number of successes out of five attempts. This is an integral part of applying the binomial probability formula to real-life scenarios.

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