Chapter 9: Problem 36
For the hypothesis test \(H_{0}: \mu=10\) against \(H_{1}: \mu>10\) and variance known, calculate the \(P\) -value for each of the following test statistics. (a) \(z_{0}=2.05\) (b) \(z_{0}=-1.84\) (c) \(z_{0}=0.4\)
Short Answer
Expert verified
(a) 0.0202, (b) 0.9671, (c) 0.3446
Step by step solution
01
Understand the Hypothesis Test
The hypothesis test is for the population mean. We have a null hypothesis \(H_0: \mu = 10\) and an alternative hypothesis \(H_1: \mu > 10\). This is a one-tailed test to determine if the population mean is greater than 10.
02
Significance from Test Statistics
For a statistical test with known variance, the standard normal distribution (z-distribution) is used. The test statistic \(z_0\) tells us how many standard deviations our statistic is away from the mean. We need to find the p-value associated with each \(z_0\).
03
Calculate P-value for \(z_{0}=2.05\)
To find the p-value, use the standard normal distribution. Look up \(z=2.05\) in the z-table or use a calculator to find the probability that \(Z > 2.05\). The p-value is the area to the right of 2.05. \[ P(Z > 2.05) \approx 0.0202 \]
04
Calculate P-value for \(z_{0}=-1.84\)
Even though \(z_0 = -1.84\) indicates a value less than the mean under the null, in the context of this \(H_1: \mu > 10\) test, we consider probabilities to the right of this cutoff, which gives a p-value of more than 0.5. \[ P(Z > -1.84) \approx 0.9671 \]
05
Calculate P-value for \(z_{0}=0.4\)
Look up or compute \(P(Z > 0.4)\) in a similar way. Since 0.4 is right-side of the mean, this p-value measures the probability \(Z > 0.4\). \[ P(Z > 0.4) \approx 0.3446 \]
06
Interpret the Results
P-values indicate the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as \(z_0\), given \(H_0\) is true. Lower p-values suggest stronger evidence against \(H_0\). Thus, \(z_0 = 2.05\) gives the strongest evidence against \(H_0\), as its p-value is lowest.
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Z-distribution
The Z-distribution, or standard normal distribution, is at the heart of many hypothesis tests. This distribution is symmetric and has a bell-shaped curve.
The mean of the Z-distribution is 0, and the standard deviation is 1. Therefore, any z-score you calculate describes the number of standard deviations a data point is from the mean.
In hypothesis testing, this is instrumental for comparing how far a sample statistic deviates from a population parameter, under the null hypothesis.
In hypothesis testing, this is instrumental for comparing how far a sample statistic deviates from a population parameter, under the null hypothesis.
- **Mean**: The Z-distribution has a mean of 0.
- **Standard Deviation**: The standard deviation is 1, making it "standardized".
- **Symmetry**: It is symmetrical around the mean.
P-value calculation
P-value calculation is critical in hypothesis testing as it quantifies the evidence against the null hypothesis. To calculate a p-value using the z-distribution, follow these steps:
1. **Locate Your Test Statistic**: First, determine the z-score corresponding to your data. The z-score indicates how many standard deviations away from the population mean your result is.
2. **Use the Z-table or Calculator**: With the z-score in hand, you can find the probability associated with this score by using a Z-table or calculator. This gives you the area under the curve to the left of your z-score.
3. **Calculate the P-value**: In a one-tailed test, like in the problem, the p-value is the area to the one end of the z-score. If looking for the area to the right, as in this exercise, you use: - **P-value for positive z-score**: Subtract the Z-table value from 1. - **P-value for negative z-score**: Use the Z-table value directly, or consider the right-tail probability which is often simplifying with 1 - p. A small p-value indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, signaling that the observation is rare under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true.
1. **Locate Your Test Statistic**: First, determine the z-score corresponding to your data. The z-score indicates how many standard deviations away from the population mean your result is.
2. **Use the Z-table or Calculator**: With the z-score in hand, you can find the probability associated with this score by using a Z-table or calculator. This gives you the area under the curve to the left of your z-score.
3. **Calculate the P-value**: In a one-tailed test, like in the problem, the p-value is the area to the one end of the z-score. If looking for the area to the right, as in this exercise, you use: - **P-value for positive z-score**: Subtract the Z-table value from 1. - **P-value for negative z-score**: Use the Z-table value directly, or consider the right-tail probability which is often simplifying with 1 - p. A small p-value indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis, signaling that the observation is rare under the assumption that the null hypothesis is true.
One-tailed test
A one-tailed test is used in hypothesis testing when the alternative hypothesis specifies a direction of the effect. In the given problem, we're checking if the mean is significantly greater than a specific value (10).
**Advantages of One-tailed Tests**: - **Directional Hypothesis**: Helps when you have a clear expectation that effects will only go one way. - **More Power**: For the same significance level, it offers more power to detect an effect in the specified direction compared to a two-tailed test.
The significance of a one-tailed test is determined by considering probabilities in one direction from the mean:
**Advantages of One-tailed Tests**: - **Directional Hypothesis**: Helps when you have a clear expectation that effects will only go one way. - **More Power**: For the same significance level, it offers more power to detect an effect in the specified direction compared to a two-tailed test.
The significance of a one-tailed test is determined by considering probabilities in one direction from the mean:
- **Right-tailed test**: If we're testing for 'greater than' scenarios, the p-value from the Z-distribution reflects the probability of observing a test statistic as extreme as calculated or more, in the right tail of the distribution.
- **Left-tailed test**: The reverse is true if hypothetically we were testing for 'less than' scenarios, examining the left tail.