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91Ó°ÊÓ

Teens were surveyed about cyberbullying, and \(54 \%\) to \(64 \%\) reported experiencing cyberbullying (95\% confidence interval). \(^{20}\) Answer the following questions based on this interval. (a) A newspaper claims that a majority of teens have experienced cyberbullying. Is this claim supported by the confidence interval? Explain your reasoning. (b) A researcher conjectured that \(70 \%\) of teens have experienced cyberbullying. Is this claim supported by the confidence interval? Explain your reasoning. (c) Without actually calculating the interval, determine if the claim of the researcher from part (b) would be supported based on a \(90 \%\) confidence interval?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) Yes, it is supported; (b) No, it is not supported; (c) No, it remains unsupported.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Confidence Interval

A 95% confidence interval is given as 54% to 64%. This means we are 95% confident that the true percentage of teens experiencing cyberbullying falls within this range.
02

Analyze Newspaper's Claim

The newspaper claims that a majority of teens have experienced cyberbullying. A majority means more than 50%. The entire confidence interval (54% to 64%) is above 50%, which supports the claim.
03

Analyze Researcher's Claim

The researcher claims that 70% of teens have experienced cyberbullying. Since 70% is outside the given confidence interval of 54% to 64%, this claim is not supported by the 95% confidence interval.
04

Evaluating 90% Confidence Interval Impact

A 90% confidence interval would typically be narrower compared to a 95% confidence interval. Since 70% is outside the 95% confidence interval, it is highly unlikely to be within the narrower 90% confidence interval. Therefore, the researcher's claim is still unsupported.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Cyberbullying Statistics
Cyberbullying is a growing concern, particularly among teenagers. Surveys aim to capture the extent of this issue by asking teens about their personal experiences. When we talk about statistics, one crucial aspect is understanding the percentage of teens affected. In the provided exercise, the survey results indicate that between 54% to 64% of teens reported experiencing cyberbullying.
This range is known as a confidence interval, which gives us a statistical estimate of where the true percentage likely falls.
  • A confidence interval provides a range that is expected to contain the true population parameter.
  • In this case, it is the percentage of teens that experience cyberbullying.
Understanding these statistics helps educators, parents, and policymakers to gauge the severity of cyberbullying and take action to mitigate its effects. It also highlights the importance of reliable data collection to make informed decisions.
Hypothesis Testing
Hypothesis testing is a statistical method used to determine if there is enough evidence to reject a hypothesis about a population parameter.
The given exercise presents two different hypothesis scenarios:
(a) A newspaper claims that a majority of teens experience cyberbullying. - The majority claim is supported if more than 50% are affected. Since the entire confidence interval is above 50%, this hypothesis is supported.
(b) A researcher claims 70% of teens experience cyberbullying. - Since 70% is not within the 54% to 64% confidence interval, this hypothesis is not supported.
  • Hypothesis testing helps determine if a specific claim about a population is reasonable, given the data.
  • When the value lies outside the confidence interval, the hypothesis is generally not supported.
These tests are crucial because they guide us in understanding the likelihood that a claim reflects reality.
Confidence Level Interpretation
The concept of confidence levels is central to interpreting confidence intervals. In the exercise, a 95% confidence level is specified.
This means that if the same population were sampled multiple times, 95% of the intervals computed from those samples would expect to capture the true parameter.
  • The higher the confidence level, the wider the confidence interval becomes.
  • A 90% confidence interval would be narrower, providing less room for error, but less certainty.
For claims beyond the interval, like the researcher’s claim of 70%, we can infer that it is less likely to be true with high statistical confidence.
Understanding confidence levels empowers us to critically analyze the reliability of our data and the assertions made based on it. It provides a framework for assessing how well we can rely on the results of a study.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The General Social Survey asked the question: "For how many days during the past 30 days was your mental health, which includes stress, depression, and problems with emotions, not good?" Based on responses from 1,151 US residents, the survey reported a \(95 \%\) confidence interval of 3.40 to 4.24 days in 2010 (a) Interpret this interval in context of the data. (b) What does "95\% confident" mean? Explain in the context of the application. (c) Suppose the researchers think a \(99 \%\) confidence level would be more appropriate for this interval. Will this new interval be smaller or wider than the \(95 \%\) confidence interval? (d) If a new survey were to be done with 500 Americans, do you think the standard error of the estimate be larger, smaller, or about the same.

Write the null and alternative hypotheses in words and using symbols for each of the following situations. (a) Since 2008 , chain restaurants in California have been required to display calorie counts of each menu item. Prior to menus displaying calorie counts, the average calorie intake of diners at a restaurant was 1100 calories. After calorie counts started to be displayed on menus, a nutritionist collected data on the number of calories consumed at this restaurant from a random sample of diners. Do these data provide convincing evidence of a difference in the average calorie intake of a diners at this restaurant? (b) The state of Wisconsin would like to understand the fraction of its adult residents that consumed alcohol in the last year, specifically if the rate is different from the national rate of \(70 \%\). To help them answer this question, they conduct a random sample of 852 residents and ask them about their alcohol consumption.

A hospital administrator hoping to improve wait times decides to estimate the average emergency room waiting time at her hospital. She collects a simple random sample of 64 patients and determines the time (in minutes) between when they checked in to the ER until they were first seen by a doctor. A \(95 \%\) confidence interval based on this sample is \((128\) minutes, 147 minutes), which is based on the normal model for the mean. Determine whether the following statements are true or false, and explain your reasoning. (a) We are \(95 \%\) confident that the average waiting time of these 64 emergency room patients is between 128 and 147 minutes. (b) We are \(95 \%\) confident that the average waiting time of all patients at this hospital's emergency room is between 128 and 147 minutes. (c) \(95 \%\) of random samples have a sample mean between 128 and 147 minutes. (d) A \(99 \%\) confidence interval would be narrower than the \(95 \%\) confidence interval since we need to be more sure of our estimate. (e) The margin of error is 9.5 and the sample mean is 137.5 . (f) In order to decrease the margin of error of a \(95 \%\) confidence interval to half of what it is now, we would need to double the sample size.

It is believed that nearsightedness affects about \(8 \%\) of all children. In a random sample of 194 children, 21 are nearsighted. Conduct a hypothesis test for the following question: do these data provide evidence that the \(8 \%\) value is inaccurate?

A poll conducted in 2013 found that \(52 \%\) of U.S. adult Twitter users get at least some news on Twitter. \(^{13}\). The standard error for this estimate was \(2.4 \%\), and a normal distribution may be used to model the sample proportion. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the fraction of U.S. adult Twitter users who get some news on Twitter, and interpret the confidence interval in context.

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