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For a group of 100 people, compute

(a) the expected number of days of the year that are birthdays of exactly 3 people;

(b) the expected number of distinct birthdays.

Short Answer

Expert verified

According to the condition

a) since we need to pick a gathering of 3individuals out of 100them. The number of days in the year that fulfill this condition is N=∑j=1365IjHence, the normal worth is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

b)The number of days in the year that fulfill this condition is N=∑j=1365Ij

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1−(364365)100)

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (part a)

The expected number of days of the year that are birthdays of exactly 3people;

02

Explanation (part a)

Define indicator random variables Ij that marks if that day is the birthday of exactly three people or not. Observe that

P(Ij=1)=(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

since we have to choose a group of 3people out of 100them. The number of days in the year that satisfy this condition is N=∑j=1365Ij. Hence, the expected value is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

03

Step 3: Final Answer (part a)

The expected number of days of the year that satisfy the condition is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

04

Given Information (part b)

The expected number of distinct birthdays.

05

Explanation (part b)

Define indicator random variables Ij that marks if there exists a person that has a birthday on that day or not. We have that

P(Ij=1)=1−(364365)100

The number of days in the year that fulfill this condition is N=∑j=1365Ij

Hence, the expected value of a distinct birthday is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1−(364365)100)

06

Final Answer (part b)

The expected number of distinct birthdays that satisfy the condition is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1−(364365)100)

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Two envelopes, each containing a check, are placed in front of you. You are to choose one of the envelopes, open it, and see the amount of the check. At this point, either you can accept that amount or you can exchange it for the check in the unopened envelope. What should you do? Is it possible to devise a strategy that does better than just accepting the first envelope? Let Aand B, A<B, denote the (unknown) amounts of the checks and note that the strategy that randomly selects an envelope and always accepts its check has an expected return of (A+B)/2. Consider the following strategy: Let F(·)be any strictly increasing (that is, continuous) distribution function. Choose an envelope randomly and open it. If the discovered check has the value x, then accept it with probability F(x)and exchange it with probability 1−F(x).

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