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For a group of 100 people, compute

(a) the expected number of days of the year that are birthdays of exactly 3 people;

(b) the expected number of distinct birthdays.

Short Answer

Expert verified

According to the condition

a) since we need to pick a gathering of 3individuals out of 100them. The number of days in the year that fulfill this condition is N=∑j=1365IjHence, the normal worth is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

b)The number of days in the year that fulfill this condition is N=∑j=1365Ij

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1−(364365)100)

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (part a)

The expected number of days of the year that are birthdays of exactly 3people;

02

Explanation (part a)

Define indicator random variables Ij that marks if that day is the birthday of exactly three people or not. Observe that

P(Ij=1)=(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

since we have to choose a group of 3people out of 100them. The number of days in the year that satisfy this condition is N=∑j=1365Ij. Hence, the expected value is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

03

Step 3: Final Answer (part a)

The expected number of days of the year that satisfy the condition is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1003)(1365)3(364365)97

04

Given Information (part b)

The expected number of distinct birthdays.

05

Explanation (part b)

Define indicator random variables Ij that marks if there exists a person that has a birthday on that day or not. We have that

P(Ij=1)=1−(364365)100

The number of days in the year that fulfill this condition is N=∑j=1365Ij

Hence, the expected value of a distinct birthday is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1−(364365)100)

06

Final Answer (part b)

The expected number of distinct birthdays that satisfy the condition is

E(N)=∑jE(Ij)=365⋅(1−(364365)100)

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