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A parallel system functions whenever at least one of its components works. Consider a parallel system ofncomponents, and suppose that each component works independently with probability 12. Find the conditional probability that component 1 works given that the system is functioning.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The conditional probability that component 1 results shown that the system is functioning is121−12n

Step by step solution

01

Given information 

Given in the question that, a parallel system functions whenever at least one of its components works.

We need to find the conditional probability that component 1 works given that the system is functioning

02

Parallel system functions 

Assume a parallel system of n components. The probability for each component to result is p=12

The system will operate whenever at least one component works.

The system will not function only when all the components are fell to work. For a description of probability,

p+q=1

12+q=1

q=12

Hence, the probability of each component that falls to perform is q=12

There are ncomponents in the system.

03

Applying conditional probability

The probability that none of the functions of the components is,

P(none)=qn

=12n

The probability that at least one of the components results is,

System function =1−P(none)

=1−12n

The conditional probability that component 1 results shown that the system is functioning is,

P(component1works)P(system functioning)

=121−12n

04

Final Answer 

The conditional probability that component 1 results shown that the system functioning is121−12n

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