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Suppose that an ordinary deck of 52cards is shuffled and the cards are then turned over one at a time until the first ace appears. Given that the first ace is the role="math" localid="1647784076635" 20thcard to appear, what is the conditional probability that the card following it is the

  1. ace of spades?
  2. two of the clubs?

Short Answer

Expert verified
  1. The conditional probability card 21stis Ace of spade =3128.
  2. The conditional probability that the card is the two of clubs is291536.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information (Part-a)

Given in the question that the first ace is the 20thcard to appear and the conditional probability that the card following it is the ace of spades.

02

Computation of the Probability (Part-a)

The probability that 20thcard is not Ace of spade =34

From 21 to52=(32cards)

In 32 cards there is one Ace of spade p=132

The probability that role="math" localid="1647784603931" 21stcard is Ace of spade =34×132

=3128

03

Final Answer (Part-a)

The probability card 21stis Ace of spade3128.

04

Given Information (Part-b)

Given in the question that the first ace is the 20thcard to appear and the conditional probability that the card following it is the two of clubs.

05

Find the Conditional Probability (Part-b)

The first 19cards can be any of 48the cards (excluding

From 21to 52(32cards)

There are 3Ace's and 2P21stcard is two of clubs)

=148×2932

291536.

06

Final Answer (Part-b)

The conditional probability that the card is the two of clubs is 291536.

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