Problem 1
Two fair dice are rolled. What is the conditional probability that at least one lands on 6 given that the dice land on different numbers?
Problem 11
Two cards are randomly chosen without replacement from an ordinary deck of 52 cards. Let \(B\) be the event that both cards are aces, let \(A_{s}\) be the event that the ace of spades is chosen, and let \(A\) be the event that at least one ace is chosen. Find (a) \(P\left(B | A_{s}\right)\) (b) \(P(B | A)\)
Problem 14
An urn initially contains 5 white and 7 black balls. Each time a ball is selected, its color is noted and it is replaced in the urn along with 2 other balls of the same color. Compute the probability that (a) the first 2 balls selected are black and the next 2 are white; (b) of the first 4 balls selected, exactly 2 are black.
Problem 17
In a certain community, 36 percent of the families own a dog and 22 percent of the families that own a dog also own a cat. In addition, 30 percent of the families own a cat. What is (a) the probability that a randomly selected family owns both a dog and a cat? (b) the conditional probability that a randomly selected family owns a dog given that it owns a cat?
Problem 22
A red die, a blue die, and a yellow die (all six sided) are rolled. We are
interested in the probability that the number appearing on the blue die is
less than that appearing on the yellow die, which is less than that appearing
on the red die. That is, with \(B, Y,\) and \(R\) denoting, respectively, the
number appearing on the blue, yellow, and red die, we are interested in
\(P(B
Problem 23
Urn I contains 2 white and 4 red balls, whereas urn II contains 1 white and 1 red ball. A ball is randomly chosen from urn I and put into urn II, and a ball is then randomly selected from urn II. What is (a) the probability that the ball selected from urn II is white? (b) the conditional probability that the transferred ball was white given that a white ball is selected from urn II?
Problem 24
3.24. Each of 2 balls is painted either black or gold and then placed in an urn. Suppose that each ball is colored black with probability \(\frac{1}{2}\) and that these events are independent. (a) Suppose that you obtain information that the gold paint has been used (and thus at least one of the balls is painted gold). Compute the conditional probability that both balls are painted gold. (b) Suppose now that the urn tips over and 1 ball falls out. It is painted gold. What is the probability that both balls are gold in this case? Explain.
Problem 25
3.25. The following method was proposed to estimate the number of people over the age of 50 who reside in a town of known population 100,000: "As you walk along the streets, keep a running count of the percentage of people you encounter who are over \(50 .\) Do this for a few days; then multiply the percentage you obtain by 100,000 to obtain the estimate." Comment on this method. Hint: Let \(p\) denote the proportion of people in the town who are over \(50 .\) Furthermore, let \(\alpha_{1}\) denote the proportion of time that a person under the age of 50 spends in the streets, and let \(\alpha_{2}\) be the corresponding value for those over \(50 .\) What quantity does the method suggested estimate? When is the estimate approximately equal to \(p ?\)
Problem 29
There are 15 tennis balls in a box, of which 9 have not previously been used. Three of the balls are randomly chosen, played with, and then returned to the box. Later, another 3 balls are randomly chosen from the box. Find the probability that none of these balls has ever been used.
Problem 30
Consider two boxes, one containing 1 black and 1 white marble, the other 2 black and 1 white marble. \(A\) box is selected at random, and a marble is drawn from it at random. What is the probability that the marble is black? What is the probability that the first box was the one selected given that the marble is white?