/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 15 Health Care: Colorado Physicians... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Health Care: Colorado Physicians A random sample of 5792 physicians in Colorado showed that 3139 provide at least some charity care (i.e., treat poor people at no cost). These data are based on information from State Health Care Data: Utilization, Spending, and Characteristics (American Medical Association). (a) Let \(p\) represent the proportion of all Colorado physicians who provide some charity care. Find a point estimate for \(p\). (b) Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for \(p .\) Give a brief explanation of the meaning of your answer in the context of this problem. (c) Check Requirements Is the normal approximation to the binomial justified in this problem? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) \(\hat{p} = 0.542\). (b) \(99\%\) CI: \( (0.525, 0.559) \). (c) Normal approximation is justified.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate Point Estimate

The point estimate of the proportion, \( p \), is calculated by dividing the number of physicians providing charity care by the total number of physicians sampled. This gives us \( \hat{p} = \frac{3139}{5792} \approx 0.542 \).
02

Construct Confidence Interval

First, find the standard error using the formula \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \) where \( \hat{p} = 0.542 \) and \( n = 5792 \). Calculate \( SE \approx 0.0065 \). Using a \( 99\% \) confidence level, find the z-score, which is approximately \( 2.576 \). The confidence interval is then constructed using the formula: \( (\hat{p} - z \times SE, \hat{p} + z \times SE) \). This gives \( (0.542 - 2.576 \times 0.0065, 0.542 + 2.576 \times 0.0065) \), which simplifies to \( (0.525, 0.559) \).
03

Explanation of Confidence Interval

The \( 99\% \) confidence interval \( (0.525, 0.559) \) suggests that we are \( 99\% \) confident that the true proportion of all Colorado physicians who provide some charity care is between \( 52.5\% \) and \( 55.9\% \). This means if many such samples are taken, \( 99\% \) of the time, the true proportion would lie within this range.
04

Check Normal Approximation

The normal approximation to the binomial distribution can be used when \( np \) and \( n(1-p) \) are both greater than 5. Using \( \hat{p} = 0.542 \), we find \( np = 3139 \) and \( n(1-p) = 2653 \), both of which are greater than 5. Therefore, the normal approximation is justified in this case.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Point Estimate
A point estimate is a single value used to approximate an unknown population parameter. It's like hitting the bullseye with one well-aimed dart, though it's only an estimate and not the exact value.
In our problem, the point estimate of the proportion, denoted by \( \hat{p} \), is found by dividing the number of Colorado physicians providing some charity care by the total number of physicians surveyed.
Here, we have \( \hat{p} = \frac{3139}{5792} \approx 0.542 \). This means that we estimate roughly 54.2% of all Colorado physicians provide some charity care. Point estimates like this are often used as a basis for making further calculations and inferences, such as constructing confidence intervals.
Confidence Interval
A confidence interval provides a range of values, rather than a single point, within which we expect the true population parameter to lie.
In statistics, constructing a confidence interval helps us understand the reliability of our point estimate.
For a \(99\%\) confidence level, this range tells us that if we were to repeat the same survey many times, 99% of the constructed intervals would capture the true proportion.
To calculate the interval around our point estimate \(0.542\), we first find the standard error \( SE \) with the formula:
  • \[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}} \]
Given \( n = 5792 \), this results in a \( SE \approx 0.0065 \). With a \( z \)-score of about \(2.576\) for a \(99\%\) confidence level, the confidence interval becomes:
  • \[ (0.542 - 2.576 \times 0.0065, 0.542 + 2.576 \times 0.0065) \]
  • \( (0.525, 0.559) \)
This means we are very sure that the true proportion of all Colorado physicians who give charity care falls between \(52.5\%\) and \(55.9\%\).
Normal Approximation
The normal approximation is a convenient way to simplify calculations for binomial distributions, especially when sample sizes are large.
Although the binomial distribution can be computed exactly, it becomes cumbersome as the number of trials, \( n \), increases.
Thus, we often use the normal approximation, an easier-to-handle model, under certain conditions.For normal approximation to be appropriate, we check if both \( np \) and \( n(1-p) \) are greater than 5.
In our problem, \( np = 3139 \) and \( n(1-p) = 2653 \) with \( \hat{p} = 0.542 \). Both conditions are satisfied since these values are far larger than 5.
This validates the use of normal approximation here, allowing us to use confidence interval techniques that depend on normally distributed data.
Binomial Distribution
A binomial distribution is a probability distribution that summarizes the likelihood that a value will take one of two independent states and is suitable for modeling scenarios like a coin toss.
In statistics, it's employed when we have a fixed number of trials, each trial having only two possible outcomes like success or failure. For the example of physicians, each could either provide charity care (success) or not (failure), making it a perfect scenario for binomial distribution.
It's crucial in this context because our data is derived from a sample of physicians, each independently choosing whether to provide charity care.
The binomial distribution gives us the framework to analyze this data, underpinning our calculations in the point estimate and confidence interval.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Answer true or false. Explain your answer. A larger sample size produces a longer confidence interval for \(\mu\).

If a \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference of means \(\mu_{1}-\mu_{2}\) contains all positive values, what can we conclude about the relationship between \(\mu_{1}\) and \(\mu_{2}\) at the \(90 \%\) confidence level?

You want to conduct a survey to determine the proportion of people who favor a proposed tax policy. How does increasing the sample size affect the size of the margin of error?

Basic Computation: Confidence Interval for p Consider \(n=200\) binomial trials with \(r=80\) successes. (a) Cbeck Requirements Is it appropriate to use a normal distribution to approximate the \(\hat{p}\) distribution? (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the population proportion of successes \(p\). (c) Interpretation Explain the meaning of the confidence interval you computed.

Assume that the population of \(x\) values has an approximately normal distribution. Diagnostic Tests: Total Calcium Over the past several months, an adult patient has been treated for tetany (severe muscle spasms). This condition is associated with an average total calcium level below \(6 \mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{dl}\) (Reference: Manual of Laboratory and Diagnostic Tests by F. Fischbach). Recently, the patient's total calcium tests gave the following readings (in \(\mathrm{mg} / \mathrm{d}\) l). $$ \begin{array}{rrrrrrr} 9.3 & 8.8 & 10.1 & 8.9 & 9.4 & 9.8 & 10.0 \\ 9.9 & 11.2 & 12.1 & & & & \end{array} $$ (a) Use a calculator to verify that \(\bar{x}=9.95\) and \(s \approx 1.02\). (b) Find a \(99.9 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean of total calcium in this patient's blood. (c) Interpretation Based on your results in part (b), does it seem that this patient still has a calcium deficiency? Explain.

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