/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 4 In a binomial experiment, is it ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

In a binomial experiment, is it possible for the probability of success to change from one trial to the next? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
No, in a binomial experiment, the probability of success cannot change between trials.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Binomial Experiment

A binomial experiment is a statistical experiment that has the following properties: 1) The experiment consists of a fixed number of trials, 2) Each trial can result in just two possible outcomes—a success or a failure, 3) The probability of success is the same for each trial, and 4) The trials are independent. These conditions must be met for the experiment to be considered binomial.
02

Explore Probability of Success Consistency

One of the essential conditions for a binomial experiment is that the probability of success must remain constant across all trials. This means that regardless of how many trials are conducted, the probability of achieving a success in any single trial does not change.
03

Consider Effects of Probability Change

If the probability of success were to change from one trial to the next, the experiment would not fulfill condition 3 of a binomial experiment. This would mean the trials could no longer be treated as part of a single binomial distribution, and alternative statistical methods would be required to analyze the results.
04

Final Thoughts

To summarize, in a true binomial experiment, the probability of success does not vary between trials. This ensures that all trials are identically distributed and allows for the use of binomial probability distribution to analyze results.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Probability of Success
In the context of a binomial experiment, the term "probability of success" refers to the likelihood that a single trial will result in a successful outcome. It is denoted by the symbol \( p \). This probability remains constant throughout all trials of the experiment. This consistency is crucial for maintaining the statistical integrity of a binomial experiment.

For example, if you are flipping a fair coin, the probability of landing heads (success) remains \(0.5\) for each flip. No matter how many times you toss the coin, this probability does not change. Ensuring that the probability of success remains stable across trials is essential for the trials to be considered part of the same binomial experiment.
Fixed Number of Trials in a Binomial Experiment
A defining feature of a binomial experiment is having a fixed number of trials. This means that the number of times the experiment or "trial" is repeated is predetermined before the experiment begins.

This aspect of having a "fixed number" of trials is significant because it provides a framework within which the data can be analyzed consistently. By predetermining the number of trials, we can apply the binomial distribution effectively, and it also ensures that our model of the experiment is clear and systematic.
  • If you decide to flip a coin 20 times, then your experiment contains exactly 20 trials.
  • If you choose to perform 10 quizzes in a semester, each quiz is a trial, totaling 10.
The goal is to ensure that all the outcomes across these trials are comparable and adhere to the binomial distribution structure.
Independent Trials and Their Importance
In a binomial experiment, it is crucial that the trials are independent. This means the outcome of one trial should not influence the outcome of any subsequent trial. Each trial stands alone. This independence ensures that each trial's outcome is determined solely by chance and the known probability of success.

Imagine flipping a coin 10 times to count the number of heads. The result of one flip does not affect the next flip. The independence of trials ensures that the results of the first flip (whether heads or tails) do not change the odds of the next flip.
  • This independence is vital for applying the binomial distribution, as it maintains uniformity and statistical integrity across all trials.
  • Independence allows us to multiply probabilities together in probability calculations without necessitating adjustments for outcomes that depend on one another.
Explaining Binomial Distribution
The **binomial distribution** is a probability distribution that captures the number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials, where each trial has two possible outcomes and a constant probability of success. It is denoted by \( B(n, p) \), where \( n \) is the number of trials, and \( p \) is the probability of success for any given trial.

**Key Characteristics of Binomial Distribution:**
  • **Two Outcomes**: Each trial yields a success or a failure.
  • **Total Trials**: Number of trials is fixed in advance.
  • **Unchanging Success Rate**: Probability of success \( p \) is the same for each trial.
  • **Independence**: Trials are conducted independently of one another.
Overall, the binomial distribution is widely used to model situations where the criteria of fixed trials, independence, and constant probability are met. It allows researchers and students to calculate the probability of observing a certain number of successes, making it a powerful tool in statistics and probability theory.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

San Andreas Fault USA Today reported that Parkfield, California, is dubbed the world's earthquake capital because it sits on top of the notorious San Andreas fault. Since 1857 , Parkfield has had a major earthquake on the average of once every 22 years. (a) Explain why a Poisson probability distribution would be a good choice for \(r=\) number of earthquakes in a given time interval. (b) Compute the probability of at least one major earthquake in the next 22 years. Round \(\lambda\) to the nearest hundredth, and use a calculator.

Are your finances, buying habits, medical records, and phone calls really private? A real concern for many adults is that computers and the Internet are reducing privacy. A survey conducted by Peter D. Hart Research Associates for the Shell Poll was reported in USA Today. According to the survey, \(37 \%\) of adults are concerned that employers are monitoring phone calls. Use the binomial distribution formula to calculate the probability that (a) out of five adults, none is concerned that employers are monitoring phone calls. (b) out of five adults, all are concerned that employers are monitoring phone calls. (c) out of five adults, exactly three are concerned that employers are monitoring phone calls.

What does it mean to say that the trials of an experiment are independent?

Blood type A occurs in about \(41 \%\) of the population (Reference: Laboratory and Diagnostic Tests, F. Fischbach). A clinic needs 3 pints of type A blood. A donor usually gives a pint of blood. Let \(n\) be a random variable representing the number of donors needed to provide 3 pints of type \(\mathrm{A}\) blood. (a) Explain why a negative binomial distribution is appropriate for the random variable \(n\). Write out the formula for \(P(n)\) in the context of this application. Hint: See Problem \(26 .\) (b) Compute \(P(n=3), P(n=4), P(n=5)\), and \(P(n=6)\). (c) What is the probability that the clinic will need from three to six donors to obtain the needed 3 pints of type A blood? (d) What is the probability that the clinic will need more than six donors to obtain 3 pints of type A blood? (e) What are the expected value \(\mu\) and standard deviation \(\sigma\) of the random variable \(n\) ? Interpret these values in the context of this application.

Artifacts At Burnt Mesa Pueblo, in one of the archaeological excavation sites, the artifact density (number of prehistoric artifacts per 10 liters of sediment) was \(1.5\) (Source: Bandelier Archaeological Excavation Project: Summer 1990 Excavations at Burnt Mesa Pueblo and Casa del Rito, edited by Kohler, Washington State University Department of Anthropology). Suppose you are going to dig up and examine 50 liters of sediment at this site. Let \(r=0\), \(1,2,3, \ldots\) be a random variable that represents the number of prehistoric artifacts found in your 50 liters of sediment. (a) Explain why the Poisson distribution would be a good choice for the probability distribution of \(r\). What is \(\lambda\) ? Write out the formula for the probability distribution of the random variable \(\underline{r}\). (b) Compute the probabilities that in your 50 liters of sediment you will find two prehistoric artifacts, three prehistoric artifacts, and four prehistoric artifacts. (c) Find the probability that you will find three or more prehistoric artifacts in the 50 liters of sediment. (d) Find the probability that you will find fewer than three prehistoric artifacts in the 50 liters of sediment.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.