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Preventing colds A medical experiment investigated whether taking the herb echinacea could help prevent colds. The study measured 50 different response variables usually associated with colds, such as low-grade fever, congestion, frequency of coughing, and so on. At the end of the study, those taking echinacea displayed significantly better responses at theα=0.05 level than those taking a placebo for 3 of the 50 response variables studied. Should we be convinced that echinacea helps prevent colds? Why or why not?

Short Answer

Expert verified

There isn't enough evidence to establish that Echinacea is helpful in preventing colds.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

α=0.05

02

Calculation

To conclude that Echinacea is useful, there is insufficient evidence. The substantial results for the three variables are almost certainly coincidental.

When the null hypothesis is true 5%of the time, there is a type Ierror getting a significant result at the α=0.05level.

If 50t−tests are run at this level of significance and all 50null hypotheses are true, the average Type Ierror is 0.05×50=2.5

The three most important findings Such errors are very likely to occur in this setting.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The standardized test statistic for a test of H0:p=0.4versus Ha:pnotequalto0.4isz=2.43This test is

a. not significant at either α=0.05or α=0.01

b. significant at α=0.05but not atα=0.01

c. significant atα=0.01but not at α=0.05

d. significant at both α=0.05andα=0.01

e. inconclusive because we don’t know the value of p^

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a. Explain why the sample result gives some evidence for the alternative hypothesis.

b. Calculate the standardized test statistic and P-value.

c. What conclusion would you make?

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