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Better parking A local high school makes a change that should improve student

satisfaction with the parking situation. Before the change, 37%of the school’s students approved of the parking that was provided. After the change, the principal surveys an SRS of 200from the more than 2500students at the school. In all, 83students say that they approve of the new parking arrangement. The principal cites this as evidence that the change was effective.

a. Describe a Type I error and a Type II error in this setting, and give a possible

consequence of each.

b. Is there convincing evidence that the principal’s claim is true?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The change is not effective. When effective, it won't improve parking.

b. No evidence that principal's claim is true.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

It is given that claim is greater than 37%.

α=0.05

n=200

x=83

02

Type I and Type II Error

The claim is null or alternate hypothesis.

Null hypothesis: H0:p=37%=0.37

Alternate Hypothesis: H1:p>0.37

Once null hypothesis is true, type I error rejects the null hypothesis:

Evidence is present that students who approve of new parking is >0.37, when students who approve parking is actually 0.37

Conclusion is change was effective when it was actually not effective and it may lead to wastage of money.

Once null hypothesis is false, type II error fails to reject it:

No evidence is present that students who approve of new parking is really larger than 0.37.

Change is not effective. When it was, parking is not improved.

03

Checking if Principal's claim is true or not.

The condition of normality is satisfied as:

np0=200(0.37)=74and n1-p0=200(1-0.37)=126. Both are large than 10.

Conditions are satisfied, we can use hypothesis test.

Sample proportion is p^=xn=83200=0.415

Test static: z=p^-p0p01-p0n=0.415-0.370.37(1-0.37)200=1.32

Pvalue is P=P(z>1.32)

=1-P(Z<1.32)=1-0.9066=0.0934

Hence, P>0.05⇒Fail to rejectH0.

No evidence that principal's claim is true.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Walking to school A recent report claimed that 13%of students typically walk to school. DeAnna thinks that the proportion is higher than 0.13at her large elementary school. She surveys a random sample of 100students and finds that 17typically walk to school. DeAnna would like to carry out a test at the α=0.05significance level of H0:p=0.13versus Ha:p>0.13, where p= the true proportion of all students at her elementary school who typically walk to school. Check if the conditions for performing the significance test are met.

Members of the city council want to know if a majority of city residents supports a 1%increase in the sales tax to fund road repairs. To investigate, they survey a random sample of 300city residents and use the results to test the following hypotheses:

H0:p=0.50

Ha:p>0.50

where pis the proportion of all city residents who support a 1% increase in the sales tax to fund road repairs.

A Type I error in the context of this study occurs if the city council

a. finds convincing evidence that a majority of residents supports the tax increase, when in reality there isn’t convincing evidence that a majority supports the increase.

b. finds convincing evidence that a majority of residents supports the tax increase, when in reality at most 50%of city residents support the increase.

c. finds convincing evidence that a majority of residents supports the tax increase, when in reality more than 50%of city residents do support the increase.

d. does not find convincing evidence that a majority of residents supports the tax increase, when in reality more than 50%of city residents do support the increase.

Which of the following has the greatest probability?

a.P(t>2)if t has 5 degrees of freedom.

b. P(t>2) if t has 2 degrees of freedom.

c. P(z>2) if z is a standard Normal random variable.

d.P(t<2)if t has 5 degrees of freedom.

e.P(z<2) if z is a standard Normal random variable.

You are testing H0:μ=10against Ha:μ<10based on an SRS of20

observations from a Normal population. The t statistic is t=−2.25

The P-value

a. falls between 0.01 and 0.02.

b. falls between 0.02 and 0.04.

c. falls between 0.04 and 0.05.

d. falls between 0.05 and 0.25.

e. is greater than 0.25.

Proposition XA political organization wants to determine if there is convincing evidence that a majority of registered voters in a large city favor Proposition X. In an SRS of 1000registered voters, 482favor the proposition. Explain why it isn’t necessary to carry out a significance test in this setting.

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