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Chapter 9: Q 34. (page 567)

Explaining confidence: Here is an explanation from a newspaper concerning one of its opinion polls. Explain what is wrong with the following statement.

For a poll of 1600 adults, the variation due to sampling error is no more than 3

percentage points either way. The error margin is said to be valid at the 95%

confidence level. This means that, if the same questions were repeated in 20 polls, the results of at least 19 surveys would be within 3 percentage points of the results of this survey.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The results do not need to be in same margin of results. "At least" expression is wrong,

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

It is given that:

For a poll of 1600 adults, the variation due to sampling error is no more than 3

percentage points either way. The error margin is said to be valid at the 95%

confidence level. This means that, if the same questions were repeated in 20polls, the results of at least 19surveys would be within 3percentage points of the results of this survey.

02

Explanation

The results of 19among does not need to be in margin of results as it can give results which are not accurate for entire population.

It would have been correct to interpret that 19/20has confidence intervals that contain true population proportion.

Also it is possible that less than 19surveys have true population, it means "at least" is also incorrect.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Which of choices (a) through (d) is not a condition for performing a significance test about a population proportion p?

a. The data should come from a random sample from the population of interest.

b. Both np0and n(1-p0)should be at least 10.

c. If you are sampling without replacement from a finite population, then you should sample less than 10%of the population.

d. The population distribution should be approximately Normal unless the sample size is large.

e. All of the above are conditions for performing a significance test about a population proportion.

Which of the following has the greatest probability?

a.P(t>2)if t has 5 degrees of freedom.

b. P(t>2) if t has 2 degrees of freedom.

c. P(z>2) if z is a standard Normal random variable.

d.P(t<2)if t has 5 degrees of freedom.

e.P(z<2) if z is a standard Normal random variable.

An opinion poll asks a random sample of adults whether they favor banning ownership of handguns by private citizens. A commentator believes that more than half of all adults favor such a ban. The null and alternative hypotheses you would use to test this claim are

邪.H0:p鈭�=0.5;Ha:p鈭�>0.5H0:p^=0.5;Ha:p^>0.5.

b. H0:p=0.5;Ha:p>0.5H0:p=0.5;Ha:p>0.5.

c. H0:p=0.5;Ha:p<0.5H0:p=0.5;Ha:p<0.5.

d. H0:p=0.5;Ha:p鈮�0.H0:p=0.5;Ha:p鈮�0.5.

e. H0:p>0.5;Ha:p=0.5H0:p>0.5;Ha:p=0.5.

Potato power problems Refer to Exercises 85 and 87

a. Explain one disadvantage of using 伪=0.10 instead of 伪=0.05 when

performing the test.

b. Explain one disadvantage of taking a random sample of 500 potatoes instead of 250 potatoes from the shipment.

Home computersRefer to Exercise 35.

a. Explain why the sample result gives some evidence for the alternative hypothesis.

b. Calculate the standardized test statistic and P-value.

c. What conclusion would you make?
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