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In a congressional district, 55% of the registered voters are Democrats. Which of the following is equivalent to the probability of getting less than 50% Democrats in a random sample of size 100?

a. P(z<0.50−0.55100)

b. P(z<0.50−0.550.55(0.45)100)

c. P(z<0.55−0.500.55(0.45)100)

d. P(z<0.50−0.55100(0.55)(0.45))

e. P(z<0.55−0.50100(0.55)(0.45))

Short Answer

Expert verified

The correct option is (b) pz<0.50−0.550.55×0.45100

Step by step solution

01

Given information

p=0.55p^=0.50n=100

02

Concept

σp^=p(1−p)n

03

Calculation

μp^=p=0.55σp^=p(1−p)n=0.55(1−0.55)100=0.55×0.45100z=x−μσ=0.50−0.550.55×0.45100

The sample proportion must be less than 50% with a probability of less than 50%

p(p^<50%)=pz<0.50−0.550.55×0.45100

Hence, the correct option is (b)

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