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Red light! Pedro drives the same route to work on Monday through Friday. His route includes one traffic light. According to the local traffic department, there is a 55%chance

that the light will be red on a randomly selected work day. Suppose we choose 10 of Pedro's work days at random and let Y= the number of times that the light is red. Make a graph of the probability distribution of Y . Describe its shape.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The data seems to be symmetrical

Step by step solution

01

Step 1:Given Information

Given information.

The probability of the light turning red on a random workday is 55percent =0.55.

The total number of working days is ten.

02

Simplification

Let Yrepresent the number of times the light turns red.

Because the variableYsatisfies the following properties, it follows a binomial distribution.

1. The number of independent trials

2. Each trial has an equal chance of success or failure.

3. The outcome of each trial is either success or failure.

4. The number of trials is predetermined.

The probability function of Yis P(y)=10y(0.55)y(1-0.55)10-y

Insert the values of y=0,1,2,…,12in the probability function to get the individual probabilities.

The probability of no red light on x=0is,

P(0)=100(0.55)0(0.45)10-0=0.00034

The possibility of a one-day red light onx=1is,

P(1)=101(0.55)1(0.45)10-1=120(0.55)(0.45)8=0.00416

The probability that two days red light on x=2is,

P(2)=102(0.55)2(0.45)10-2=12×112×1(0.55)2(0.45)8=0.0229

Continue in the same manner to obtain the probabilities.

03

Further calculation

The probability distribution of the variable Y is shown below.

y
p(y)
0localid="1657633858647" 0.0034
1localid="1657633861317" 0.00416
localid="1657633855711" 2localid="1657633864046" 0.02289
localid="1657633881452" 30.0746
localid="1657633884843" 40.15957
localid="1657633888586" 5localid="1657633867369" 0.23403
localid="1657633893821" 6localid="1657633870761" 0.23837
localid="1657633897012" 7localid="1657633873538" 0.16648
localid="1657633900334" 8localid="1657633876780" 0.0763
localid="1657633903531" 9localid="1657633918004" 0.02072
width="19" style="max-width: none; vertical-align: -4px;" 100.00253

The probability distribution graph is shown below.

The distribution appears to be roughly symmetric. The greatest likelihood occurs when x=6.

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