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Andrea and Barsha are middle-distance runners for their school’s track team. Andrea’s time A in the 400-meter race on a randomly selected day is approximately Normally distributed with a mean of 62 seconds and a standard deviation of 0.8 second. Barsha’s time B in the 400-meter race on a randomly selected day is approximately Normally distributed with a mean of 62.8seconds and a standard deviation of 1 second. Assume that AandB are independent random variables. Find the probability that Barsha beats Ashley in the 400-meter race on a randomly selected day.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that Barsha will win the race on a random day is 0.3483.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information 

Given :

Mean,

μA=62seconds

μB=62.8 seconds

Standard deviation,

σA=0.8seconds

σB=1second

02

Finding the mean of the difference and standard deviation 

Because AandBhave a Normal distribution, their difference has Normal distribution as well.

The mean of the difference is now equal to the difference in the means of any two variables.

μA-B=μX-μY=62-62.8=-0.8seconds

The variance of the difference is equal to the sum of the variances of the random variables when they are independent.

σ2A-B=σ2A+σ2B=(0.8)2+(1)2=1.64seconds

The standard deviation is equal to the square root of the variance, as we know.

σx+y=σ2A-B=1.64≈1.2806seconds

03

Finding the probability that Barsha will win the race  

Because Andrea loses to Barsha, this implies that A>Bor(A-B>0)

We must next consider x=0. Calculate thez-score, which is equal to

z=x-μσ=0-(-0.5)1.2806≈0.39

To find the equivalent probability, use the normal probability table in the appendix.

P(z<0.39)can be found in the standard normal probability table in the row that starts with 0.3and the column that starts with .09.

P(A-B>0)=P(z>0.39)=1-P(z<0.39)=1-0.6517=0.3483

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