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Red light! Pedro drives the same route to work on Monday through Friday. His route includes one traffic light. According to the local traffic department, there is a 55%chance that the light will be red on a randomly selected work day. Suppose we choose 10 of Pedro's work days at random and let Y=the number of times that the light is red.

a. Explain why Yis a binomial random variable.

b. Find the probability that the light is red on exactly 7 days.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a)Y is a binomial random variable because all four conditions have been met.

(b)The likelihood of the light becoming red on exactly 7 days is approximately 0.1665.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information

The total number of trials, n=10

The likelihood of success,p=55%=0.55

Y: The number of times the light has been turned red.

When it comes to the binomial random variable,

02

Part (a) Step 2:Simplification

The following are the four conditions:

Binary: Because success resembles a red light and failure like a light that is not red. As a result, the criterion is met.

Trials conducted independently: Pedro's working days are known to be chosen at random. As a result, the criterion has been met.

The number of trials is fixed: Because we selected ten of Pedro's working days. As a result, the criterion has been satisfied and the number of trials has been increased to ten.

The likelihood of success is: Because there is a 55% likelihood that the light will be red. As a result, the chance of the light being red is 55%, and the condition has been met.

As a result, all of the requirements have been met.

A binomial setup is described by Y in this case.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information

The total number of trials, n=10

The likelihood of success, p=55%=0.55

04

Part (b) Step 2:Simplification

The binomial probability states that

P(X=k)=nkpk(1p)nk

For k=7,

The binomial probability to be evaluated as:

P(X=7)=107(0.55)7(10.55)107=10!7!(107)!(0.55)7(0.45)3=120(0.55)7(0.45)30.1665=16.65%

The probability of the light turning red on exactly 7 days is approximately 16.65%, and the probability is approx.0.1665.

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