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Researchers carried out a survey of fourth-, fifth-, and sixth-grade students in Michigan. Students were asked whether good grades, athletic ability, or being popular was most important to them. The two-way table summarizes the survey data.

Suppose we select one of these students at random.

a. Find P(athletic|5thgrade).

b. Use your answer from part (a) to help determine if the events 鈥5th grade鈥 and 鈥渁thletic鈥 are independent.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part a. Conditional probability,

P(athletic|5thgrade)0.3333

Part b. No, the events 鈥5th grade鈥 and 鈥渁thletic鈥 are not independent.

Step by step solution

01

Part a. Step 1. Given information

Survey data summarized in two 鈥 way table:

02

Part a. Step 2. Calculation

According to conditional probability,

P(B|A)=P(AB)P(A)=P(AandB)P(A)

Note that

The information about 335students is provided in the table.

Thus,

The number of possible outcomes is 335.

Also note that

In the table, 108of the 335students are 5thgraders.

Thus,

The number of favorable outcomes is 108.

When the number of favorable outcomes is divided by the number of possible outcomes, we get the probability.

P(5thgrade)=NumberoffavourableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=108335

Now,

Note that

In the table, 36of the 335students are 5thgrades and think that athletics are most important. In this case, the number of favorable outcomes is 36and number of possible outcomes is 335.

P(Athleticand5thgrade)=NumberoffavourableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=36335

Apply conditional probability:

P(Athletic|5thgrade)=P(Athleticand5thgrade)P(5thgrade)=36335108335=361080.3333

Thus,

The conditional probability for the randomly selected 5thgrade student thinks athletic ability as most important is approx. 0.3333.

03

Part b Step 1. Calculation

The two events are independent, if the probability of occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of occurrence of other event.

According to conditional probability,

P(B|A)=P(AB)P(A)=P(AandB)P(A)

Note that

The information about 335students is provided in the table.

Thus,

The number of possible outcomes is 335.

Also note that

In the table, 108of the 335students are 5thgraders.

Thus,

The number of favorable outcomes is 108.

When the number of favorable outcomes is divided by the number of possible outcomes, we get the probability.

P(5thgrade)=NumberoffavourableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=108335

Also note that

In the table, 98of the 335students think athletics as most important.

Thus,

The number of favorable outcomes is 98and the number of possible outcomes is 335.

When the number of favorable outcomes is divided by the number of possible outcomes, we get the probability.

P(Athletic)=NumberoffavourableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=983350.2925

Now,

Note that

In the table, 36of the 335students are 5thgrades and think that athletics are most important. In this case, the number of favorable outcomes is 36and number of possible outcomes is 335.

P(Athleticand5thgrade)=NumberoffavourableoutcomesNumberofpossibleoutcomes=36335

Apply conditional probability:

P(Athletic|5thgrade)=P(Athleticand5thgrade)P(5thgrade)=36335108335=361080.3333

For events 鈥淎thletic鈥 and 鈥5thgrade鈥 to be independent,

P(Athletic|5thgrade)=P(Athletic)

And

P(5thgrade|Atheltic)=P(5thgrade)

But

We have

P(Athletic|5thgrade)0.3333

And

P(athletic)0.2925

Both probabilities are not identical.

Thus,

Both events are not independent.

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