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Prey attracts predators Here is one way in which nature regulates the size of animal populations: high population density attracts predators, which remove a higher proportion of the population than when the density of the prey is low. One study looked at kelp perch and their common predator, the kelp bass. On each of four occasions, the researcher set up four large circular pens on sandy ocean bottoms off the coast of southern California. He randomly assigned young perch to 1of 4pens so that one pen had 10perch, one pen had 20perch, one pen had 40perch, and the final pen had 60perch. Then he dropped the nets protecting the pens, allowing bass to swarm in, and counted the number of perch killed after two hours. A regression analysis was performed on the16 data points using x=number of perch in pen and y=proportion of perch killed. Here is a residual plot and a histogram of the residuals. Check whether the conditions for performing inference about the regression model are met.


Here is computer output from the least-squares regression analysis of the perch data.

a. Find the critical value for a 90%confidence interval for the slope of the true regression line. Then calculate the confidence interval.

b. Interpret the interval from part (a).

c. Explain the meaning of 鈥90% confident鈥 in this context.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. The Critical value is1.761and the Confidence interval is (0.004243984,0.012894016)

b. There is a 90%chance that the true slope of the population regression line is between 0.004243984and 0.012894016.

c. The 90percent confidence interval shows the slope of the true regression line.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) step 1 : Given information

We have to find the critical value and confidence interval for a 90%confidence interval.

02

Part (a) Step 2 : Simplification

We will use the following formula for the boundaries of the confidence interval :-

bt*SEb1b+t*SEb1

In the row "Perch" and the column "Coefficient" of the computer output, the slope b1is mentioned.
b1=0.008569
In the row "Perch" and the column "stdev." of the mention output from the computer, the computed standard deviation of the slope SEb1is mentioned.
SEb1=0.002456
degrees of freedom :-16-2=14
In the student's T distribution table df=14and column of c=90percent, the t-value may be found.
t*=1.761
Theconfidenceinterval'sbounds

bt*SEb1=0.0085691.7610.002456=0.004243984b+t*SEb1=0.008569+1.7610.002456=0.012894016

03

Part (b) step 1 : Given information

We have to explain the interval from part (a).

04

Part (b) Step 2 : Simplification

From part (a) ,

bt*SEb1=0.0085691.7610.002456=0.004243984b+t*SEb1=0.008569+1.7610.002456=0.012894016

bt*SEb1=0.0085691.7610.002456=0.004243984b+t*SEb1=0.008569+1.7610.002456=0.012894016

There is a 90%chance that the true slope of the population regression line is between 0.004243984and 0.012894016.

05

Part (c) step 1 : Given information

We have to explain the meaning of 90%confident.

06

Part (c) Step 2 : Simplification

The slope of the correct regression line is shown in the 90percent confidence range. 90percent confidence also means that it is projected that around 90%of all samples will have a 90%confidence interval including the true population parameter.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A survey firm wants to ask a random sample of adults in Ohio if they support an increase in the state sales tax from 5.75%to 6%, with the additional revenue going to education. Let p^denote the proportion in the sample who say that they support the increase. Suppose that 40%of all adults in Ohio support the increase. If the survey firm wants the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of p^to equal 0.01,how large a sample size is needed?

a.1500

b. 2400

c.2401

d.2500

e.9220

R12.4 Long legs Construct and interpret a 95% confidence interval for the slope of the population regression line. Assume that the conditions for inference are met. Explain how the interval provides more information than the test in R12.3.

T12.2 Students in a statistics class drew circles of varying diameters and counted how many Cheerios could be placed in the circle. The scatterplot shows the results. The students want to determine an appropriate equation for the relationship between diameter and the number of Cheerios. The students decide to transform the data to make it appear more linear before computing a least-squares regression line. Which of the following transformations would be reasonable for them to try?

I. Plot the square root of the number of Cheerios against diameter.
II. Plot the cube of the number of Cheerios against diameter.
III. Plot the log of the number of Cheerios against the log of the diameter.
IV. Plot the number of Cheerios against the log of the diameter.

a. I and II
b. I and III
c. II and III
d. II and IV
e. I and IV

Pencils and GPA Is there a relationship between a student鈥檚 GPA and the number of pencils in his or her backpack? Jordynn and Angie decided to find out by selecting a random sample of students from their high school. Here is computer output from a least-squares regression analysis using x=number of pencils and y=GPA:

Is there convincing evidence of a linear relationship between GPA and number of pencils for students at this high school? Assume the conditions for inference are met.

Predicting high temperatures Using the daily high and low temperature readings at Chicago鈥檚 O鈥橦are International Airport for an entire year, a meteorologist made a scatterplot relating y=high temperature to x=low temperature, both in degrees Fahrenheit. After verifying that the conditions for the regression model were met, the meteorologist calculated the equation of the population regression line to be y=16.6+1.02xwith 蟽=6.64掳F. a. According to the population regression line, what is the average high temperature on days when the low temperature is 40掳F? b. About what percent of days with a low temperature of 40掳F have a high temperature greater than 70掳F? c. If the meteorologist used a random sample of 10 days to calculate the regression line instead of using all the days in the year, would the slope of the sample regression line be exactly 1.02? Explain your answer.

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