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Data on the IQ test scores and reading test scores for a group of fifth-grade children give the following regression line: predicted reading score \(=-33.4+0.882(\mathrm{IQ}\) score \()\) (a) What's the slope of this line? Interpret this value in context. (b) What's the \(y\) intercept? Explain why the value of the intercept is not statistically meaningful. (c) Find the predicted reading score for a child with an IQ score of 90 .

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 0.882; Each IQ point increases reading score by 0.882. (b) -33.4; It's not meaningful as IQ can't be 0. (c) 45.98.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the slope of the line

The given regression line is \( \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 0.882 \times (\text{IQ score}) \). The slope of the line is the coefficient of the IQ score variable, which is 0.882. This means that for each one-point increase in IQ score, the predicted reading score increases by 0.882 points.
02

Identify the y-intercept

The equation of the regression line shows that the \( y \)-intercept is -33.4. This is the predicted reading score when the IQ score is 0, which is not a realistic scenario because IQ has a minimum positive value. Hence, the \( y \)-intercept is not statistically meaningful in this context.
03

Calculate predicted reading score with IQ of 90

To find the predicted reading score for a child with an IQ score of 90, substitute the IQ value into the regression equation: \[ \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 0.882 \times 90 \] Calculate the result: \[ \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 79.38 = 45.98 \] Thus, the predicted reading score for a child with an IQ score of 90 is 45.98.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Slope Interpretation
In a regression analysis, the slope is an important measure that tells us how the dependent variable typically changes with a one-unit increase in the independent variable. Here, the given regression line is \( \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 0.882 \times (\text{IQ score}) \). The slope of this line is 0.882.

Understanding the Slope
  • The slope, 0.882, describes the expected change in the predicted reading score for each additional point in the IQ score.
  • This means that if a child’s IQ score increases by 1 point, their predicted reading score will increase by 0.882 points.
  • This positive slope indicates a direct relationship between IQ scores and reading scores: as IQ increases, so does the predicted reading score.
Understanding slope helps us see the strength and direction of the relationship between the two variables. It’s key in predicting outcomes.
Y-intercept
The y-intercept in a regression equation is the predicted value of the dependent variable when the independent variable is zero. In the equation \( \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 0.882 \times (\text{IQ score}) \), the y-intercept is -33.4.

Exploring the Y-intercept
  • The y-intercept, -33.4, represents the predicted reading score if a child has an IQ of zero.
  • However, IQ scores cannot realistically be zero as they usually start from a positive value in actual measurements.
  • Therefore, the y-intercept in this context is not statistically meaningful or relevant, but it's a necessary part of the mathematical formula that fits the data best.
Recognizing the irrelevance of the y-intercept in such scenarios is crucial in not misinterpreting the regression analysis results.
Prediction
In regression analysis, prediction involves using the regression line to estimate the value of the dependent variable for a given value of the independent variable. In this exercise, we are tasked with predicting the reading score for a child with an IQ score of 90.

Making Predictions
  • To make a prediction, substitute the child's IQ into the regression equation: \( \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 0.882 \times 90 \).
  • Calculate: \( \text{predicted reading score} = -33.4 + 79.38 = 45.98 \).
  • Thus, a fifth grader with an IQ of 90 is predicted to have a reading score of 45.98.
This example demonstrates how we can utilize a regression equation to make informed predictions based on statistical data. By understanding and applying the slope and y-intercept, we can accurately forecast outcomes.

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