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Thousands of travelers pass through the airport in Guadalajara, Mexico, each day. Before leaving the airport, each passenger must pass through the Customs inspection area. Customs agents want to be sure that passengers do not bring illegal items into the country. But they do not have time to search every traveler鈥檚 luggage. Instead, they require each person to press a button. Either a red or a green bulb lights up. If the red light shows, the passenger will be searched by Customs agents. A green light means 鈥済o ahead.鈥 Customs agents claim that the proportion of all travelers who will be stopped (red light) is0.30, because the light has probability 0.30of showing red on any push of the button. To test this claim, a concerned citizen watches a random sample of 100travelers push the button. Only 20get a red light.

(a) Assume that the Customs agents鈥 claim is true. Find the probability that the proportion of travelers who get a red light is as small as or smaller than the result in this sample. Show your work.

(b) Based on your results in (a), do you believe the Customs agents鈥 claim? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) Probability is 0.0145

(b)The researcher does not believe the customs agent claim.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given information

Given in the question that, Thousands of travelers pass through the airport in Guadalajara, Mexico, each day. Before leaving the airport, each passenger must pass through the Customs inspection area. Customs agents want to be sure that passengers do not bring illegal items into the country. But they do not have time to search every traveler鈥檚 luggage. Instead, they require each person to press a button. Either a red or a green bulb lights up. If the red light shows, the passenger will be searched by Customs agents. A green light means 鈥済o ahead.鈥 Customs agents claim that the proportion of all travelers who will be stopped (red light) is 0.30, because the light has probability0.30of showing red on any push of the button. To test this claim, a concerned citizen watches a random sample of 100 travelers push the button. Only 20 get a red light

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

Given,

Probability of success(p)=0.30

Number of events(x)=20

Number of trials (n)=100

If Xis a random variable represented as the number of people who get the red light.

Since, np(mean) and np(1-p)(variance) are greater than 5. Therefore, Xwill follow Normal approximation.

X~N(np,np(1-p))

X~N(100(0.30),100(0.30)(1-0.30))

role="math" X~N(30,21)

The probability that the proportion of travelers who get a red light less than 20, can be calculated as

localid="1650254778514" P(X<20)=PX-npnp(1-p)<20-30214.5826=P(Z<-2.1822)=0.0145 (From standard normal table)

Thus, the required probability is 0.0145

03

Part(b) Step 3: Given information

Given in the question that, Thousands of travelers pass through the airport in Guadalajara, Mexico, each day. Before leaving the airport, each passenger must pass through the Customs inspection area. Customs agents want to be sure that passengers do not bring illegal items into the country. But they do not have time to search every traveler鈥檚 luggage. Instead, they require each person to press a button. Either a red or a green bulb lights up. If the red light shows, the passenger will be searched by Customs agents. A green light means 鈥済o ahead.鈥 Customs agents claim that the proportion of all travelers who will be stopped (red light) is 0.30, because the light has probability0.30 of showing red on any push of the button. To test this claim, a concerned citizen watches a random sample of 100 travelers push the button. Only 20 get a red light.

04

Part(b) Step 4: Explanation

From the above part, the probability is0.0146. Since, the probability is low subsequently it seems, by all accounts, to be that the claim is false, Thus, the specialist doesn't completely accept that that the customs agent claim.

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