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Hispanic workers A factory employs 3000 unionized workers, of whom 30%are Hispanic. The 15 -member union executive committee contains 3 Hispanics. What would be the probability of 3 or fewer Hispanics if the executive committee were chosen at random from all the workers?

CHALLENGE: See if you can compute the probability using another method.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of 3or fewer Hispanics if the executive committee were chosen at random from all the workers is 0.2969.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information 

Number of unionized workers=3000

Proportion of workers that are Hispanic =30%

Number of members which are Hispanic in the 15 member union executive committee =3

02

Explanation 

Given:

The mass function of xprobability is,

p(x)=nx(p)x(1p)nx;x=0,1,2,,n

We can write that the proportion xand pcorrespond to the number of Hispanics on the union executive committee.

So, p=0.30and n=15.

Now, we can solve for the product of nand p.

np=150.30=10.510

Becausenp<10does not satisfy the specified criterion, a normal approximation cannot be used to obtain the requisite probability.

The probability of mass function can be used to determine the required probability.

p(x)=nx(p)x(1-p)n-x;x=0,1,2,,n.

Substitute the values of n=15

p=0.3(1D)=0.7p(x)=15x(0.3)x(0.7)15x

Needed probability is:

P(x3)=P(x=0)+P(x=1)+P(x=2)+P(x=3)

=150(0.3)0(0.7)15+151(0.3)1(0.7)14+152(0.3)2(0.7)15+153(0.3)3(0.7)15=0.0047+0.0305+0.0916+0.1700=0.2969

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