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Testing the test Are false positives too common in some medical tests? Researchers conducted an experiment involving 250 patients with a medical

condition and 750 other patients who did not have the medical condition. The medical technicians who were reading the test results were unaware that they

were subjects in an experiment.

(a) Technicians correctly identified 240 of the 250patients with the condition. They also identified 50 of the healthy patients as having the condition. What

were the false positive and false negative rates for the test?

(b) Given that a patient got a positive test result, what is the probability that the patient actually had the medical condition? Show your work.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Part (a) The rates are 6.67% and 4% respectively.

Part (b) The probability is 0.8276

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given Information

The table is made up of the following components:

02

Part (a) Step 2. Concept

Probability(p)=NumberoffavourableTotalnumberofexhaustive

03

Part (a) Step 3. Calculation

240of the 250patients with the disease were accurately recognised by technicians. They also recognised 50healthy people as having the disease, therefore the test's false positive (FP) and false negative (FN) rates can be estimated as follows:

PFP=50750=0.0667%=6.67%

PFN=10750=0.0400=4.00%

As a result, the needed rates are 6.67% and 4%, respectively.

04

Part (b) Step 1. Calculation

Given a positive test result, the likelihood that the selected patient has the medical condition can be computed as follows:

Ppositivetest=240+501000=0.290

PIncorrectandpositive=2401000=0.240

PIncorrectidentifyandpositivetest=0.2400.290=82.76%

As a result, 0.8276 is the required probability.

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