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Ecologists look at data to learn about nature鈥檚 patterns. One pattern they have found relates the size of a carnivore (body mass in kilograms) to how many of those carnivores there are in an area. The right measure of 鈥渉ow many鈥 is to count carnivores per 10,000kilograms (kg) of their prey in the area. The table below gives data for 25carnivore species

Carnivore speciesBody mass(kg)Abundance(per 10,000 kg of prey)Least weasel0.141656.49Ermine0.16406.66Small Indian mongoose0.55514.84Pine marten1.331.84Kit fox2.0215.96Channel Island fox2.16145.94Arctic fox3.1921.63Red fox4.632.21Bobcat10.09.75Canadian lynx11.24.79European badger13.07.35Coyote13.011.65Ethiopian wolf14.52.70Eurasian lynx20.00.46Wild dog25.01.61Dhole25.00.81Snow leopard40.01.89Wolf46.00.62Leopard46.56.17Cheetah50.02.29Puma51.90.94Spotted hyena58.60.68Tiger182.03.40Polar bear310.00.33

Here is a scatterplot of the data.

(a) The following graphs show the results of two different transformations of the data. Would an exponential model or a power model provide a better description of the relationship between body mass and abundance? Justify your answer.

(b) Minitab output from a linear regression analysis on the transformed data of log(abundance) versus log(body mass) is shown below. Give the equation of the least-squares regression line. Be sure to define any variables you use.

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant1.95030.134214.530.000log(body-1.048110.09802-10.690.000mass)

S=0.423352R-Sq=83.3%R-Sq(adj)=82.5%

(c) Use your model from part (b) to predict the abundance of black bears, which have a body mass of 92.5kilograms. Show your work.

(d) A residual plot for the linear regression in part (b) is shown below. Explain what this graph tells you about how well the model fits the data.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The link between body mass and abundance is better described by a power model.

(b) The equation is logy^=1.9503-1.04811logx.

(c) The abundance of black bears which has a body mass of 92.5kilograms is 0.775474per 10000kgof prey.

(d) The model appears to be an excellent match.

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given Information

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

The data on body mass and abundance is provided in the inquiry. As a result, the scatterplot pattern in the model that best describes the connection between body mass and abundance must be roughly linear. Because the top graph corresponds to an exponential model and the bottom graph corresponds to a power model, the power model will provide a better representation of the link between body mass and abundance.

03

Part(b) Step 1: Given Information

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant1.95030.134214.530.000log(body-1.048110.09802-10.690.000mass)

S=0.423352R-Sq=83.3%R-Sq(adj)=82.5%

04

Part(b) Step 2: Explanation

Now, the question specifies that variable xrepresents body mass and variable yrepresents abundance. As a result, the general equation will be:

localid="1652804782326" logy^=a+blogx

The slope and constant of the regression line are given in the question:

a=1.9503

b=-1.04811

As a result, the regression line appears to be as follows:

localid="1652805060619" logy^=a+blogx=1.9503-1.04811logx

05

Part(c) Step 1: Given Information

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant1.95030.134214.530.000log(body-1.048110.09802-10.690.000mass)

S=0.423352R-Sq=83.3%R-Sq(adj)=82.5%

06

Part(c) Step 2: Explanation

The regression line is

logy^=a+blogx=1.9503-1.04811logx

As a result, we must forecast the number of black bears with a body mass of 92.5kg. As a result of examining part (b), we have:

logy^=a+blogx=1.9503-1.04811logx=1.9503-1.04811log92.5=-0.110433=10-0.110433=0.775474

07

Part(d) Step 1: Given Information

PredictorCoefSE CoefTPConstant1.95030.134214.530.000log(body-1.048110.09802-10.690.000mass)

S=0.423352R-Sq=83.3%R-Sq(adj)=82.5%

08

Part(d) Step 2: Explanation

The regression line is

logy^=a+blogx=1.9503-1.04811logx

The question also includes a residual plot of the linear regression in section (b). Because the residuals in the residual plot are all centered about zero, there is no clear pattern in the residual plot, and the vertical spread of the residuals appears to be roughly the same everywhere, the model appears to be a good fit.

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