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Abstain from drinking In a Harvard School of Public Health survey, 2105 of 10,904 randomly selected U.S. college students were classified as abstainers (nondrinkers).

(a) Construct and interpret a 99% confidence interval forp. Follow the four-step process.

(b) A newspaper article claims that 25% of U.S. college students are nondrinkers. Use your result from (a) to comment on this claim.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a)0.1833<p<0.2027

b) There is sufficient evidence to reject the claim.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information

Calculating a confidence interval for p by using four-step process.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

The sample proportion is calculated by dividing the number of successes by the sample size:

p^=xn=2105109040.1930

Determine z/2=z0.005using table A (search up 0.005in the table, the z-score is then the found z-score with opposite sign) with confidence level 1-=99%=0.99:

z/2=z0.005=2.575

As a result, the margin of error is:

localid="1650247703364" E=z/2p^(1-p^)n=2.5750.1930(1-0.1930)109040.0097

As a result, the confidence interval is:

localid="1650247736847" 0.1833=0.1930-0.0097=p^-E<p<p^+E=0.1930+0.0097=0.2027

We're 99percent sure the true population proportion is between0.1833and0.2027

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information

By using part (a) we need to find the result for 25%of U.S. college students.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation 

There is adequate evidence to refute the assertion that 25% of U.S. college students are nondrinkers because the confidence interval does not contain25% text (or 0.25 text).

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