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A random sample of 100 of a certain popular car model last year found that 20 had a certain minor defect in the brakes. The car company made an adjustment in the production process to try to reduce the proportion of cars with the brake problem. A random sample of 350 of this year's model found that 50 had the minor brake defect.

(a) Was the company's adjustment successful? Carry out an appropriate test to support your answer.

(b) Describe a Type I error and a Type Il error in this setting, and give al possible consequence of each.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a) No

b)Interpretation: The adjustment appears to be not effective, while it is effective.

Consequence: Less cars have a brake defect than expected, which might save the company some money

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step1: Given Information

x1=20

x2=50

n1=100

n2=350

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

Determine the hypothesis:

H0:p1=p2

Ha:p1>p2

The sample proportion is calculated by dividing the number of successes by the sample size:

localid="1650383335009" p^1=x1n1=20100=0.2p^2=x2n2=503500.1429p^p=x1+x2n1+n2=20+50100+350=704500.1556

Determine the value of the test statistic:

localid="1650383319593" z=p^1-p^2p^p1-p^p1n1+1n2=0.2-0.14290.1556(1-0.1556)1100+13501.39

The P-value is the chance of getting the test statistic's result, or a number that is more severe. Using table A, calculate theP-value:

localid="1650383420208" P=P(Z>1.39)=P(Z<-1.39)=0.0823

Reject the null hypothesis if the P-value is less than the significance level:

P>0.05Fail to rejectH0

Therefore, there is not sufficient evidence to support the claim of a difference.

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information

Determine the hypothesis:

Ha:p1>p2

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

Type I error: Reject the null hypothesis H0, when H0is true.

The change appears to be effective, but it is in fact ineffective.

As a result, more cars than projected have a braking issue, potentially costing the corporation extra money.

Type II error: Fail to reject the null hypothesisH0, when H0is false.

Interpretation: While the change looks to be ineffective, it actually is.

As a result, fewer cars have brake defects than expected, potentially saving the company money.

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