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Study more! A student group claims that first-year students at a university study 2.5 hours per night during the school week. A skeptic suspects that they study less than that on average. He takes a random sample of 30 first-year students and finds that \(\overline{x}=137\) minutes and \(s_{x}=45\) minutes. A graph of the data shows no outliers but some skewness. Carry out an appropriate significance test at the 5\(\%\) significance level. What conclusion do you draw?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Reject the null hypothesis; students study less than 2.5 hours per night.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Hypotheses

First, we need to set up our null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis (H0) states that the average study time is 150 minutes (equivalent to 2.5 hours) per night, i.e., \( H_0: \mu = 150 \). The alternative hypothesis (H1) indicates that the average study time is less than 150 minutes, i.e., \( H_1: \mu < 150 \).
02

Calculate the Test Statistic

Next, we calculate the test statistic using the sample mean \( \overline{x} = 137 \), the claimed population mean \( \mu = 150 \), the sample standard deviation \( s_x = 45 \), and the sample size \( n = 30 \). The test statistic \( t \) is given by: \[ t = \frac{\overline{x} - \mu}{s_x/\sqrt{n}} = \frac{137 - 150}{45/\sqrt{30}} \] Calculate this value to obtain the test statistic.
03

Find the Critical Value

Determine the critical value for a one-tailed t-test with \( n - 1 = 29 \) degrees of freedom at the 5% significance level. This value can typically be found in a t-distribution table or by using statistical software. For \( \alpha = 0.05 \) and df = 29, the critical value \( t_{crit} \) is approximately -1.699.
04

Compare Test Statistic with Critical Value

With the test statistic calculated and the critical value at hand, compare these two values. If the test statistic is less than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis. Calculate \( t \) from Step 2, and check if it is less than -1.699.
05

Draw a Conclusion

Based on the comparison in Step 4, conclude whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. If the test statistic is less than -1.699, we reject the null hypothesis, suggesting there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that students study less than 2.5 hours per night on average.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis, often denoted as \( H_0 \), is a foundational concept in significance testing. It serves as a baseline assumption that there is no effect or no difference. For our exercise about the study habits of first-year university students, the null hypothesis assumes that students study exactly 2.5 hours per night on average, which translates to 150 minutes. In practical terms, this means that any observed variation from this average study time in our sample of students is due to random chance rather than an actual deviation from the norm.

When conducting significance tests, the null hypothesis is the statement that will either be rejected or not rejected based on the test results. It is a critical part of the framework that allows us to use statistical methods to infer whether there is enough evidence to support an alternative claim.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \( H_1 \) or sometimes \( H_a \), is the statement we are testing against the null hypothesis. Unlike the null hypothesis, the alternative hypothesis suggests that there is a real effect or a significant difference. For the exercise at hand, the alternative hypothesis posits that first-year university students study less than 150 minutes (which is less than 2.5 hours) per night on average.

The alternative hypothesis can be one-tailed or two-tailed, depending on the direction of the effect we expect to find. In this situation, it is a one-tailed hypothesis because we specifically want to see if students study less than 150 minutes, not just a different amount. Establishing a clear alternative hypothesis is essential as it guides the type of statistical test to use and directs how we interpret the results.
T-Test
A t-test is a statistical method used to determine if there is a significant difference between the mean of a sample and a known value, often the population mean. In this context, we're using a one-sample t-test to investigate whether the average study time of first-year students is significantly less than the assumed mean of 150 minutes. The t-test helps us compute the test statistic, which reflects how far our sample mean deviates from the population mean in units of standard error.

To perform the t-test in our exercise, we calculate the test statistic using the formula:\[ t = \frac{\overline{x} - \mu}{s_x/\sqrt{n}} \]Here, \( \overline{x} \) is the sample mean (137 minutes), \( \mu \) is the population mean (150 minutes), \( s_x \) is the sample standard deviation (45 minutes), and \( n \) is the sample size (30). By calculating the t-statistic, we can assess the likelihood that our sample mean differs from the population mean by random chance alone.
Critical Value
In hypothesis testing, the critical value delineates the boundary or threshold at which we decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. This value comes from the t-distribution, which we refer to when using a t-test. The critical value is determined by the chosen significance level, often denoted as \( \alpha \), and the degrees of freedom of the sample.

For our example, the significance level is 5% or 0.05, and since the sample size is 30, the degrees of freedom would be \( n - 1 = 29 \). Looking up a t-distribution table or using statistical software, the critical value at this significance level for a one-tailed test is approximately -1.699.

If our calculated test statistic falls below this critical value, it suggests the sample data provides enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis. Hence, the critical value acts as the tipping point in our decision-making process regarding the viability of the null hypothesis in presence of the observed data.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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