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Reporting cheating What proportion of students are willing to report cheating by other students? A student project put this question to an SRS of 172 undergraduates at a large university: 鈥淵ou witness two students cheating on a quiz. Do you go to the professor? Only 19 answered "Yes." (a) Identify the population and parameter of interest. (b) Check conditions for constructing a confidence interval for the parameter. (c) Construct a 99% confidence interval for p. Show your method. (d) Interpret the interval in context.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(0.0498, 0.1711) is the 99% confidence interval for the proportion of students willing to report cheating.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Population and Parameter

The population of interest consists of all undergraduates at the large university. The parameter of interest is the proportion of students in this population who would report cheating by other students to a professor (denoted as \( p \)).
02

Check Conditions for Confidence Interval

To construct a confidence interval for the population proportion, we need to check the normality conditions. These conditions are satisfied if both \( np \geq 10 \) and \( n(1-p) \geq 10 \), where \( n = 172 \) and \( p \) is estimated by the sample proportion \( \hat{p} = \frac{19}{172} \approx 0.110465 \). Calculating, \( n\hat{p} = 172 \times 0.110465 \approx 19 \) and \( n(1-\hat{p}) = 172 \times (1 - 0.110465) \approx 153 \). Both values exceed 10, so the conditions are satisfied.
03

Construct the 99% Confidence Interval

We calculate the 99% confidence interval for the population proportion \( p \) using the formula: \[\hat{p} \pm z^* \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1-\hat{p})}{n}}\]The critical value \( z^* \) for a 99% confidence level is approximately 2.576. Substituting the values, we get:\[0.110465 \pm 2.576 \times \sqrt{\frac{0.110465(1-0.110465)}{172}}\]\[= 0.110465 \pm 2.576 \times \sqrt{\frac{0.098122}{172}}\]\[= 0.110465 \pm 2.576 \times 0.02354\]\[= 0.110465 \pm 0.06065\]The interval is approximately \( (0.0498, 0.1711) \).
04

Interpret the Confidence Interval

The 99% confidence interval \((0.0498, 0.1711)\) suggests that we are 99% confident the true proportion of all undergraduates at this university who would report cheating is between 4.98% and 17.11%. This means if we repeated the survey many times, 99% of the intervals would contain the true population proportion.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Parameter
In statistics, a population parameter refers to a characteristic or measure that is typical of the overall population from which a sample can be drawn. This includes measures like population mean, or in our case, a proportion. For this specific exercise, the population we are interested in is all undergraduates at a large university. The population parameter of interest is the proportion of these students who would report cheating if they observed it. Represented by the symbol \( p \), it reflects the true behavior or attitude of all students, even though we are basing our findings on a sample rather than surveying every individual in the full population. Understanding the exact nature and context of your population and parameter is crucial because it indicates the scope to which your findings can be generalized.
Sample Proportion
A sample proportion is a statistical measure that helps estimate the population proportion based on sample data. It is calculated by dividing the number of 'successes' in the sample (the event of interest) by the total number of individuals in the sample. In the scenario given, the sample proportion, denoted by \( \hat{p} \), is determined by dividing the number of students who responded 'Yes' (19) by the total number of students surveyed (172). This results in a sample proportion \( \hat{p} = \frac{19}{172} \approx 0.110465 \). This quotient gives us a rough estimation of what proportion of the larger student population might behave in the same way. The sample proportion is an essential component when calculating confidence intervals or making inferences about the population parameter.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a judgment used to determine if the results of a study are likely to be true and not due to random chance. In this exercise, constructing a confidence interval around the sample proportion aids in assessing whether the proportion of students ready to report cheating is statistically significant. A confidence interval quantifies the uncertainty around our estimate, and if it is narrow, it suggests a high level of confidence in the findings. In the problem, a 99% confidence interval was constructed, allowing us to state with high certainty that the true proportion of students willing to report cheating lies within that interval. Statistical significance is about ruling out probability as a factor for the results observed, ensuring that they reflect the actual population behavior rather than merely outcomes by chance.
Normality Conditions
For many statistical methods, including the construction of confidence intervals for population proportions, it is vital to meet specific normality conditions. These ensure that the sampling distribution can be approximated to a normal distribution, which simplifies statistical analysis.
  • The first condition is that the expected number of successes, \( np \), should be at least 10.
  • The second is that the expected number of failures, \( n(1-p) \), should also be at least 10.

In the presented exercise, where \( n = 172 \), and the estimated \( \hat{p} = 0.110465 \), both conditions are comfortably met with calculated values of 19 for successes and 153 for failures. Meeting these conditions is essential because it validates further statistical procedures and decisions based on the data, ensuring they are justified and reliable.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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