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MySpace versus Facebook A recent survey suggests that 85% of college students have posted a profile on Facebook, 54% use MySpace regularly, and 42% do both. Suppose we select a college student at random. (a) Assuming that there are 20 million college students, make a two-way table for this chance process. (b) Construct a Venn diagram to represent this setting. (c) Consider the event that the randomly selected college student has posted a profile on at least one of these two sites. Write this event in symbolic form using the two events of interest that you chose in (b). (d) Find the probability of the event described in (c). Explain your method.

Short Answer

Expert verified
97% of college students use at least one platform.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Sets for Venn Diagram

Let's denote the event that a student has a profile on Facebook as \( F \) and the event that a student uses MySpace regularly as \( M \). Then the overlap \( F \cap M \) represents students who use both platforms.
02

Organize Information into a Two-Way Table

We have 20 million students and the given probabilities are: \( P(F) = 0.85 \), \( P(M) = 0.54 \), and \( P(F \cap M) = 0.42 \). Based on this, we need to calculate the number of students for each combination of usage:- Students on both Facebook and MySpace: \( 0.42 \times 20 = 8.4 \) million.- Students only on Facebook: \( 0.85 \times 20 - 8.4 = 8.6 \) million.- Students only on MySpace: \( 0.54 \times 20 - 8.4 = 2.2 \) million.- Students using neither: \( 20 - (8.6 + 2.2 + 8.4) = 0.8 \) million.
03

Construct the Venn Diagram

Draw two overlapping circles to represent the Facebook and MySpace groups. Label the intersection with 8.4 million, the exclusive Facebook part with 8.6 million, the exclusive MySpace part with 2.2 million, and outside both circles for neither with 0.8 million.
04

Write Event in Symbolic Form

The event where a student has posted on at least one site is denoted as \( F \cup M \). This is calculated by the formula \( P(F \cup M) = P(F) + P(M) - P(F \cap M) \).
05

Calculate the Probability of Using At Least One Site

Substitute the provided probabilities into the formula:\[ P(F \cup M) = 0.85 + 0.54 - 0.42 = 0.97 \]So the probability that a student uses at least one of the two platforms is 0.97, or 97%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Two-way table
A two-way table is a valuable tool that helps organize and display the information regarding the associations between two categorical variables. In the context of our problem, these variables are students' usage of Facebook and MySpace. By translating the probabilities of certain events into numbers of students, we can break down the total into categories such as both, neither, only Facebook, and only MySpace.

For instance, considering there are 20 million college students, and knowing the percentages:
  • 85% have profiles on Facebook (\( P(F) = 0.85 \)).
  • 54% use MySpace regularly (\( P(M) = 0.54 \)).
  • 42% use both platforms (\( P(F \cap M) = 0.42 \)).
We can calculate:
  • 8.4 million students use both (0.42 * 20 million).
  • 8.6 million only use Facebook (0.85 * 20 million - 8.4 million).
  • 2.2 million only use MySpace (0.54 * 20 million - 8.4 million).
  • 0.8 million use neither (20 - (8.6 + 2.2 + 8.4) million).
The two-way table organizes these results, clearly showing who uses which platform, enabling a better visualization and understanding of the data.
Venn diagram
The Venn diagram is an effective graphical representation for organizing and visualizing the overlaps and exclusivities between different sets or groups. In our exercise, it helps represent the groups of students using Facebook, MySpace, both, or neither.

For this, you draw two overlapping circles:
  • One circle represents Facebook users (\( F \)).
  • The other represents MySpace users (\( M \)).
  • The overlapping section represents users of both platforms (\( F \cap M \)).
In the diagram:
  • The intersection region covering 8.4 million students symbolizes those using both Facebook and MySpace.
  • The remaining section within the Facebook circle, excluding the overlap, represents 8.6 million students who use only Facebook.
  • Similarly, the MySpace circle's non-overlapping part accounts for the 2.2 million students using only MySpace.
  • Additionally, the space outside the circles accounts for the 0.8 million students who neither use Facebook nor MySpace.
This visual aid helps simplify complex problems, making it easier to grasp relationships between different sets.
Symbolic form
Symbolic form in probability allows us to express events using symbols and logical operations, making complex statements more concise and precise. For example, in our exercise, we look at the event where a student has posted a profile on at least one of the two sites, Facebook or MySpace.

Symbolically, the union of these events can be expressed as:
  • \( F \cup M \)
This represents all students who have profiles on either Facebook, MySpace, or both. To find the probability of this event occurring, we use the formula:
  • \( P(F \cup M) = P(F) + P(M) - P(F \cap M) \)
By substituting the given probabilities, we have:
  • \( 0.85 + 0.54 - 0.42 = 0.97 \)
Thus, 97% is the probability of a student having an account on at least one platform. This method of using symbols and operations simplifies the calculations and presentation of solution.

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