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Husbands and wives The mean height of American women in their early twenties is 64.5 inches and the standard deviation is 2.5 inches. The mean height of men the same age is 68.5 inches, with standard deviation 2.7 inches. The correlation between the heights of husbands and wives is about \(r=0.5\) . (a) Find the equation of the least-squares regression line for predicting husband's height from wife's height. Show your work. (b) Use your regression line to predict the height of the husband of a woman who is 67 inches tall. Explain why you could have given this result without doing the calculation.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) The regression line is \(Y = 33.57 + 0.54X\). (b) For a 67-inch-tall wife, predict husband's height as 69.75 inches. Taller wife means likely taller husband due to correlation.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Regression Problem

We need to find the least-squares regression line for predicting husband's height (dependent variable, \(Y\)) from wife's height (independent variable, \(X\)). This line is expressed as \(Y = a + bX\), where \(b\) is the slope and \(a\) is the y-intercept.
02

Calculate the Slope, b

The formula for the slope \(b\) of the regression line is given by \(b = r \left(\frac{s_y}{s_x}\right)\), where \(r\) is the correlation coefficient, \(s_y\) is the standard deviation of the dependent variable (husband's height), and \(s_x\) is the standard deviation of the independent variable (wife's height). Using the provided values: \(r = 0.5\), \(s_y = 2.7\), and \(s_x = 2.5\), we calculate \(b = 0.5 \left(\frac{2.7}{2.5}\right) = 0.54\).
03

Calculate the Y-Intercept, a

The y-intercept \(a\) can be calculated using the formula \(a = \overline{y} - b\overline{x}\), where \(\overline{y}\) is the mean of husband's height (68.5 inches), and \(\overline{x}\) is the mean of wife's height (64.5 inches). Substituting in the values we have: \(a = 68.5 - 0.54 \times 64.5 = 33.57\).
04

Write the Regression Equation

Substitute the slope \(b = 0.54\) and the intercept \(a = 33.57\) into the regression line equation: \(Y = 33.57 + 0.54X\). This is the equation of the least-squares regression line.
05

Predict Husband's Height for a Given Wife's Height

To predict the husband's height when the wife's height is 67 inches, substitute \(X = 67\) into the regression equation \(Y = 33.57 + 0.54X\). So, \(Y = 33.57 + 0.54 \times 67 = 69.75\). The predicted husband's height is 69.75 inches.
06

Analyze the Predictive Behavior

The reason we could have anticipated a taller husband for a 67-inch-tall wife without the calculation is the positive correlation (\(r = 0.5\)) between their heights and the fact that 67 inches is above the average height of 64.5 inches for women. Thus, a taller-than-average woman will likely have a taller-than-average husband.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Correlation
Correlation is a statistical measure that describes the strength and direction of a relationship between two variables. In the context of predicting a husband's height from a wife's height, correlation helps us understand how closely related these two sets of heights are.
A common symbol for correlation is 'r', and its value ranges from -1 to 1.
  • If 'r' is close to 1, it indicates a strong positive correlation, meaning as one variable increases, the other tends to increase as well.
  • If 'r' is close to -1, it shows a strong negative correlation, meaning as one variable increases, the other tends to decrease.
  • If 'r' is around 0, it suggests little to no linear correlation.
For our specific example, the correlation between the heights of husbands and wives is given as 0.5. This indicates a moderate positive correlation, meaning taller women tend to have taller husbands, but the relationship isn't perfectly linear.
Understanding this concept is vital when interpreting the predictions we make using the regression equation.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. It tells us how much the values in a dataset typically deviate from the mean. In the context of our problem, standard deviation helps us understand the spread of heights around the mean for both husbands and wives.
For instance, the standard deviation of 2.5 inches for wives鈥 heights shows that most women鈥檚 heights fall within this range from the average height of 64.5 inches. Similarly, for husbands, a standard deviation of 2.7 inches indicates the variation from their mean height of 68.5 inches.
  • The larger the standard deviation, the wider the spread of data points from the mean.
  • Conversely, a smaller standard deviation indicates that the data points are closer to the mean.
Standard deviation is crucial in calculating the slope of the regression line, which determines how much change in the wife's height will affect the predicted husband's height.
Regression Equation
The regression equation is an essential tool in predictive analysis. It shows the relationship between an independent variable (wives' heights) and a dependent variable (husbands' heights). The equation takes the form of a line: \( Y = a + bX \), where \( Y \) is the predicted value, \( a \) is the y-intercept, and \( b \) is the slope.
To find these components, we calculate:
  • The slope \( b \) using the formula \( b = r \left(\frac{s_y}{s_x}\right) \), where \( s_y \) and \( s_x \) are the standard deviations of the dependent and independent variables, respectively.
  • The y-intercept \( a \) is found by adjusting the mean of the dependent variable \( \overline{y} \) by the product of the slope and the mean of the independent variable \( \overline{x} \).
In our problem, substituting the values into the equations gives us the regression equation: \( Y = 33.57 + 0.54X \). This equation allows us to predict a husband's height (Y) given a wife's height (X), by applying the calculated slope and intercept.
Predictive Analysis
Predictive analysis uses statistical techniques, such as regression equations, to make forecasts or predictions about future outcomes. In this instance, we use our regression equation to predict a husband's height based on his wife's height. This tool can be very beneficial in making informed predictions when the historical data shows a pattern or relationship between variables.
The process involves:
  • Using the regression equation to input known values (e.g., a wife's height) to get a prediction (e.g., her husband's height).
  • Interpreting these predictions in the context of the data. Because of the moderate positive correlation, an increase in the wife's height generally predicts an increase in the husband's height, although not perfectly.
In our exercise, given a wife's height of 67 inches, our regression equation predicted a husband's height of 69.75 inches.
This predictive ability helps to establish expectations based on available data and existing correlations.

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