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Student Opinions. A university has 30,000 undergraduate and 10,000 graduate students. A survey of student opinion concerning health care benefits for domestic partners of students selects 300 of the 30,000 undergraduate students at random and then separately selects 100 of the 10,000 graduate students at random. The 400 students chosen make up the sample. a. What is the probability that any of the 30,000 undergraduates is in your random sample of 300 undergraduates selected? What is the probability that any of the 10,000 graduate students is in your random sample of 100 graduate students selected? b. If you have done the calculations correctly in part (a), the probability of any student at the university being selected is the same. Why is your sample of 400 students from the university not an SRS of students? Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Probabilities for undergraduates and graduates are both 0.01. The sample isn't an SRS because the groups are sampled separately.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

The exercise involves finding the probability of selecting a specific student from two distinct groups—undergraduate and graduate students. We then examine why the sample taken isn't a simple random sample (SRS) of the university students.
02

Calculate the Probability for Undergraduate Students

We have 30,000 undergraduate students and we want to find the probability of choosing a specific student from a sample of 300. The probability is given by \( \frac{300}{30,000} \). Simplifying, we find the probability that any specific undergraduate is selected is \( \frac{1}{100} = 0.01 \).
03

Calculate the Probability for Graduate Students

We have 10,000 graduate students, with a sample size of 100. The probability of choosing a specific graduate student is \( \frac{100}{10,000} \). Simplifying, we find that the probability is \( \frac{1}{100} = 0.01 \).
04

Compare these Probabilities and Explain Concept of SRS

Although the probability of selecting any specific student (undergrad or grad) is the same at \( 0.01 \), the sample isn't an SRS because the two groups were sampled separately. An SRS would require a random draw from the entire student population, without separating undergraduates from graduates.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Simple Random Sample (SRS)
A Simple Random Sample (SRS) is an essential concept in statistics, particularly when conducting surveys or research. It describes a sampling method where each individual in a population has an equal probability of being selected. This means any member of the population could potentially be chosen, without considering their subgroup or specific characteristics. In the context of our exercise, an SRS would involve randomly selecting students from the total pool of 40,000 university students (including both undergraduates and graduates) without dividing them into smaller groups. The primary goal is to ensure that the sample accurately represents the larger population.

However, in the given exercise, undergraduates and graduates were sampled separately. This pre-set division means the student sample isn't a true SRS because the probability of selection isn't independent of group classification. By understanding this, you can grasp why a simple division of population affects the randomness of selection.
Sampling Methods
Sampling methods are strategies used to select a portion of the population for study purposes. Each method has its specific use cases, advantages, and disadvantages. It's crucial to choose the appropriate method to ensure the resulting sample appropriately represents the population.

  • **Simple Random Sampling (SRS):** As mentioned, SRS involves selecting individuals completely at random from the entire population.
  • **Stratified Sampling:** This method, used in the exercise, involves dividing the population into subgroups (like undergraduates and graduates) and sampling from each subgroup separately. It's beneficial for ensuring representation across key subgroups but can be less "random" compared to SRS.

In the exercise, stratified sampling was chosen to ensure both graduate and undergraduate student opinions were represented in the survey. Though different in methodology from SRS, it can still offer an effectively balanced sample.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is a fundamental aspect of statistics, deeply embedded in sampling and data analysis. It determines the likelihood of an event happening out of all possible scenarios. When you take a sample, calculating probabilities can help understand how likely it is for a particular outcome to occur.

In our exercise, probability calculations were performed to find the chance of selecting any specific student from each group.

  • **For Undergraduates:** With 30,000 students and a sample of 300, the probability of selecting a specific undergraduate is \( \frac{300}{30,000} = \frac{1}{100} \).
  • **For Graduates:** For the 10,000 graduate students, with 100 chosen randomly, the probability is also \( \frac{100}{10,000} = \frac{1}{100} \).

This shows that, within their groups, each student had an equal chance of being chosen. The fact that the probability of selection was consistent across both groups highlights the planner's aim for sampling equality, even though the sampling wasn't an SRS across the entire student body.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Sampling A mazon For ests. Stratified samples are widely used to study large areas of forest. Based on satellite images, a forest area in the Amazon basin is divided into 14 types. Foresters studied the four most commercially valuable types: alluvial climax forests of quality levels 1, 2, and 3 , and mature secondary forest. They divided the area of each type into large parcels, chose parcels of each type at random, and counted tree species in a 20 - by 25 -meter rectangle randomly placed within each parcel selected. Here is some detail: Choose the stratified sample of 18 parcels. Be sure to explain how you assigned labels to parcels. If you use Table B, start at line \(112 .\)

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The National Health and Nutrition Examination Study (NHANES) had a random sample of 9317 participants recall their diet over the past 24 hours. The information in this sample was used in a recent study that found that, on average, \(57.9 \%\) of the calories eaten by participants were obtained from ultra-processed foods that include substances not used in culinary preparations, such as flavors, colors, sweeteners, emulsifiers, and other additives. One of the limitations of the study reported by the authors was the dependence on the dietary recall of individuals. \(\underline{20}\) The authors were concerned with a. response bias. b. undercoverage. c. overstratification.

The Pew Research Center Report titled "Libraries 2016," released September 9,2016 , asked a random sample of 1601 Americans aged 16 and over, "Have you personally ever visited a public library or used a public library bookmobile in person in the last 12 months?" In the entire sample, \(48 \%\) said Yes. But only \(40 \%\) of those in the sample over 65 years of age said Yes. Which of these two sample percentages will be more accurate as an estimate of the truth about the population? a. The result for those over 65 is more accurate because it is easier to estimate a proportion for a small group of people. b. The result for the entire sample is more accurate because it comes from a larger sample. c. Both are equally accurate because both come from the same sample.

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