Chapter 19: Problem 15
Find \(P(-2
Short Answer
Expert verified
The probability is approximately 0.9544.
Step by step solution
01
Understanding the Problem
We are given an approximately normal distribution of IQ scores with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15. We need to find the probability that a score falls between -2 and 2 in z-scores.
02
Convert Scores to Z-Scores
In a normal distribution, the z-score is calculated by the formula: \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where \( X \) is the value, \( \mu \) is the mean, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation. For this problem, we are given the z-scores directly: -2 and 2.
03
Use the Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution table (or a calculator) is used to find the probability corresponding to the z-scores. The probability for \( z = -2 \) is approximately 0.0228, and for \( z = 2 \), it's approximately 0.9772.
04
Calculate the Probability
The probability that a score falls between z = -2 and z = 2 is the difference between the two probabilities:\[ P(-2 < Y < 2) = P(z < 2) - P(z < -2) \]\[ = 0.9772 - 0.0228 = 0.9544 \]
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Z-Score
Understanding (normal distribution) helps in interpreting data precisely. For a set of data, a z-score quantifies how many standard deviations an element is away from the mean. It's calculated using the formula \[ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where:
- X is the data point,
- \(\mu\) is the mean of the distribution,
- \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation (SD) is a statistical measure of variability or diversity, capturing how much individual observations differ from the mean. In essence, SD is the spread of a set of numbers. In a normal distribution, roughly 68% of the data lies within 1 standard deviation (\( +1, -1 \)) of the mean. Approximately 95% sits within 2 SDs (\( +2, -2 \)), and about 99.7% is covered within 3 SDs (\( +3, -3 \)). This is commonly referred to as the 68-95-99.7 rule.Why does this matter?
- If the SD is low, the values are close to the mean, showing consistency.
- If the SD is high, the values are spread out, indicating variability.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation in the context of the standard normal distribution involves determining the likelihood of a specific range of outcomes. For our normal distribution, with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15, calculating probabilities becomes intuitive with z-scores.In this exercise, we sought to find the probability that an IQ score falls between the z-scores of -2 and 2.
To do this, we look at each z-score in the standard normal distribution table:
To do this, we look at each z-score in the standard normal distribution table:
- Z = -2: Converts to a probability of approximately 0.0228.
- Z = 2: Converts to a probability of approximately 0.9772.