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A Survey of 100,000 Physicians. In 2010 , the Physicians Foundation conducted a survey of physicians' attitude about health care reform, calling the report "a survey of 100,000 physicians." The survey was sent to 100,000 randomly selected physicians practicing in the United States: 40,000 via postoffice mail and 60,000 via email. A total of 2,379 completed surveys were received. 11 (a) State carefully what population is sampled in this survey and what is the sample size. Could you draw conclusions from this study about all physicians practicing in the United States? (b) What is the rate of nonresponse for this survey? How might this affect the credibility of the survey results? (c) Why is it misleading to call the report "a survey of 100,000 physicians"?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The population sampled is 100,000 physicians, with a sample size of 2,379. The nonresponse rate is 97.621%, affecting credibility, and the title is misleading because not all 100,000 physicians responded.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Population

The population sampled in this survey is the group of 100,000 physicians who were initially selected to receive the survey. These were practicing physicians in the United States at the time of the survey.
02

Determine the Sample Size

The sample size refers to the subset of the population that actually responded to the survey. In this case, the sample size is the 2,379 physicians who completed the survey.
03

Evaluate Generalizability

To draw conclusions about all physicians in the U.S., the survey needs to be representative. With such a low response rate, the results may not be generalizable to the entire population of U.S. physicians.
04

Calculate Nonresponse Rate

The nonresponse rate can be calculated by subtracting the number of responses from the total surveys sent out and then dividing by the total number of surveys. Nonresponse rate = (100,000 - 2,379) / 100,000 = 97.621%.
05

Assess Impact of Nonresponse Rate

A high nonresponse rate implies potential bias. If the nonrespondents had systematically different views from respondents, the survey results could be skewed, reducing credibility.
06

Examine Survey Title Misleading Nature

Calling the report 'a survey of 100,000 physicians' implies all sent surveys were surveyed. Since only 2,379 physicians actually responded, the title exaggerates the study's scope.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Size
In survey research, the term "sample size" refers to the actual number of respondents who complete the survey and provide usable data. In the case of the physicians' survey conducted by the Physicians Foundation, the sample size was 2,379, even though surveys were sent out to 100,000 physicians. A small sample size can limit the accuracy of the survey findings because it represents only a tiny fraction of the original target group.

When analyzing a study, it's important to consider whether the sample size is adequate enough to draw reliable conclusions. A larger sample size generally offers a more robust and reliable picture of the entire population, as it reduces the margin of error and variability in responses. However, merely increasing the sample size does not solve potential biases present in the sampling process.
Nonresponse Rate
The nonresponse rate is a key metric in survey methodology that highlights the proportion of people who did not respond to the survey out of those who were contacted. In this case, the survey had a nonresponse rate of 97.621%, meaning that the majority of contacted physicians did not complete the survey.

To calculate the nonresponse rate, subtract the number of respondents from the number of surveys sent, and divide the difference by the total number of surveys sent. High nonresponse rates can be concerning, as they may indicate that the survey responses do not accurately reflect the views of the entire targeted population. This could lead to skewed results and reduce the credibility of any conclusions that are drawn from the survey data.
Population Sampling
Population sampling is the process of selecting a group of individuals from a larger population to participate in a survey. In the mentioned exercise, the population consisted of 100,000 randomly selected practicing physicians from the United States.

Effective population sampling is crucial for ensuring that the survey results are representative. Random sampling attempts to eliminate selection bias by giving every individual in the larger population an equal chance of being chosen. However, the method of contacting respondents (such as mail or email) and other factors can still introduce biases that affect who ends up in the sample, thus impacting the reliability of the survey conclusions.
Generalizability
Generalizability refers to the extent to which the results of a survey can be applied to a larger population beyond the sample. For the survey in question, drawing conclusions about all U.S. physicians based on the responses from just 2,379 individuals may not be appropriate.

A survey needs to accurately capture the diversity within the population to be considered generalizable. If the respondents are not reflective of the larger group, in terms of demographics, opinions, and behaviors, then the findings could be limited or misleading. In this scenario, with such a low response rate, the generalizability of the survey results is questionable, as it may not effectively represent the full range of opinions within the broader group of all U.S. physicians.
Response Bias
Response bias occurs when the answers provided by survey respondents are systematically different from their true beliefs or behaviors, often caused by the survey's design or the way questions are asked. This can skew survey results and impact their accuracy.

In the exercise featuring the survey of physicians, response bias might occur if the 2,379 respondents differ in some important ways from those who did not respond. For example, physicians who had strong opinions about healthcare reform may have been more inclined to complete the survey than those who were indifferent. Detecting and mitigating response bias is critical for improving the credibility of survey findings and ensuring they reflect the broader population accurately.

Factors like the language of the survey, the mode of contact (mail or email), and even the perceived importance of the survey topic can influence the likelihood of response bias and ultimately affect the reliability of the data collected.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A survey of Chicago. A New York Times/Kaiser foundation survey of Chicagoans showed that they are deeply dissatisfied with the direction of their city, distrust ful of their police force, and divided along racial lines. The poll is based on telephone interviews conducted April 21-May 3, 2016, with 1123 adults who live in Chicago. The samples of telephone exchanges for both landlines and cell phones were randomly selected by a computer from a complete list of exchanges in Chicago (the telephone exchange is the three digits following the area code). Within each exchange, random digits were added to form a complete telephone number, thus permitting access to listed and unlisted numbers alike. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday. 22 (a) The survey wants the opinion of an individual adult, but a landline phone reaches a household in which several adults may live. In that case, the survey interviewed the adult with the most recent birthday. Why is this preferable to simply interviewing the person who answers the phone? (b) What is the population that this survey wants to describe? Why do you think it is important to include both landline and cellular phones in your sample? (c) Are there residents of Chicago who have telephone numbers that cannot be reached by the survey method described? Explain why this could be a problem. (Hint: How are telephone numbers assigned to cell phone users?)

Racial profiling and traffic stops. The Denver Police Department wants to know if Hispanic residents of Denver believe that the police use racial profiling when making traffic stops. A sociologist prepares several questions about the police. The police department chooses an SRS of 200 mailing addresses in predominantly Hispanic neighborhoods and sends a uniformed Hispanic police officer to each address to ask the questions of an adult living there. (a) What are the population and the sample? (b) Why are the results likely to be biased even though the sample is an SRS?

Systematic random samples. Systematic random samples go through a list of the population at fixed intervals from a randomly chosen starting point. For example, a study of dating among college students chose a systematic sample of 200 single male students at a university as follows. \({ }^{33}\) Start with a list of all 9000 single male students. Because \(9000 / 200=45\), choose one of the first 45 names on the list at random and then every 45 th name after that. For example, if the first name chosen is at position 23 , the systematic sample consists of the names at positions, \(23,68,113,158\), and so on up to 8978 . (a) Choose a systematic random sample of five names from a list of 200 . If you use Table B, enter the table at line \(127 .\) (b) Like an SRS, a systematic sample gives all individuals the same chance to be chosen. Explain why this is true, then explain carefully why a systematic sample is nonetheless not an SRS.

Online news polls. On January 30, 2015, the Los Angeles Times ran an online poll on its website and asked readers the question, If the NFL comes to Las Angeles, which team would be the best fit? The St. Louis Rams, San Diego Chargers and Oakland Raiders are all an year-to-year leases, unhappy with their current venues, and mulling a possible relocution to L.A. Readers clicked on one of three buttons to vote: a picture of the Oakland Raiders logo, a picture of the San Diego Chargers logo, and a picture of the St. Louis Rams logo. In all, 12,212 (33\%) selected the Oakland Raiders, 2038 (6\%) selected the San Diego Chargers, and 22,721 (61\%) selected the St. Louis Rams. 25 (a) What is the sample size for this poll? (b) The sample size for this poll is much larger than is typical for polls such as the Gallup Poll. Explain why the poll may give unreliable information, even with such a large sample size.

Ring-no-answer. A common form of nonresponse in telephone surveys is "ring-no- answer." That is, a call is made to an active number but no one answers. The Italian National Statistical Institute looked at nonresponse to a govemment survey of households in Italy during the periods January 1 to Easter and July 1 to August 31 . All calls were made between 7 and 10 p.m., but \(21.4 \%\) gave "ring-no-answer" in one period versus \(41.5 \%\) "ring-no-answer" in the other period. \({ }^{29}\) Which period do you think had the higher rate of no answers? Why? Explain why a high rate of nonresponse makes sample results less reliable.

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