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Husbands and wives. The mean height of American women in their twenties is about \(64.3\) inches, and the standard deviation is about \(2.7\) inches. The mean height of men the same age is about \(69.9\) inches, with standard deviation about \(3.1\) inches. Suppose that the correlation between the heights of hushands and wives is about \(r=0.5\). (a) What are the slope and intercept of the regression line of the husband's height on the wife's height in young couples? Interpret the slope in the context of the problem. (b) Draw a graph of this regression line for heights of wives between 56 and 72 inches. Predict the height of the husband of a woman who is 67 inches tall, and plot the wife's height and predicted husband's height on your graph. (c) You don't expect this prediction for a single couple to be very accurate. Why not?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The slope is approximately 0.574, the intercept is about 32.96, predicting a 67-inch tall wife's husband to be around 71.41 inches tall. Individual predictions are not very accurate due to moderate correlation.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Slope of the Regression Line

The slope of the regression line \( (b) \) is calculated using the formula \( b = r \cdot \frac{s_y}{s_x} \), where \( r \) is the correlation coefficient, \( s_y \) is the standard deviation of the husband's height, and \( s_x \) is the standard deviation of the wife's height. Substituting the known values, we get: \[ b = 0.5 \cdot \frac{3.1}{2.7} \approx 0.574 \] This means that for every inch increase in the wife's height, the husband's height increases by approximately 0.574 inches.
02

Calculate the Intercept of the Regression Line

The intercept \( (a) \) of the regression line is calculated with the formula \( a = \bar{y} - b \cdot \bar{x} \), where \( \bar{y} \) is the mean height of husbands and \( \bar{x} \) is the mean height of wives. Using the calculated slope, \[ a = 69.9 - 0.574 \cdot 64.3 \approx 32.96 \] This indicates the predicted husband's height when the wife's height is zero, which is not realistic, thus it's better considered as an adjustment factor in predictions.
03

Write the Equation of the Regression Line

The regression line can be expressed as \( y = a + bx \), where \( y \) is the husband's height and \( x \) is the wife's height. Substituting the values we have calculated: \[ y = 32.96 + 0.574x \]
04

Predict Husband's Height for a Given Wife's Height

Substitute \( x = 67 \) inches (the wife's height) into the regression equation to predict the husband's height: \[ y = 32.96 + 0.574 \times 67 \approx 71.41 \] Therefore, a wife who is 67 inches tall is predicted to have a husband who is approximately 71.41 inches tall.
05

Explain the Limitations of the Prediction

This prediction might not be accurate for a single couple because individual variation can be high. The correlation of \( r = 0.5 \) suggests only a moderate relationship between the heights, and real-life pairings can vary much more dramatically due to personal preferences and other factors.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Correlation Coefficient
The correlation coefficient is a statistical measure that describes the strength and direction of a relationship between two variables. In our exercise, the correlation coefficient between the heights of husbands and wives is noted as 0.5.
This value indicates a moderate positive relationship. This means that as the height of a wife increases, the height of her husband tends to increase as well, but not perfectly.
- A correlation coefficient close to 1 or -1 shows a strong relationship, where 1 is a perfect positive linear correlation and -1 is a perfect negative linear correlation.
- A value close to 0 indicates little to no linear relationship.
In our context, the correlation of 0.5 suggests that while there is a tendency for taller women to have taller husbands, it's not consistent enough to make perfect predictions on height just from this data alone. This moderate correlation leads to a relatively modest slope in the regression line.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. It helps us understand how spread out the data is around the mean.
In this exercise, we have two standard deviations:
  • For wives' heights: 2.7 inches
  • For husbands' heights: 3.1 inches
This tells us that husbands' heights are slightly more spread out around their mean compared to wives'.
A higher standard deviation means that the data points are more dispersed around the mean, indicating greater variability. Conversely, a lower standard deviation suggests that the data points are clustered more closely around the mean. In regression analysis, the standard deviation values are crucial as they influence the slope of the regression line.
Mean Height
The mean height is the average height of a group of people. In this problem, we deal with the mean heights of American men and women in their twenties:
  • Wives' mean height: 64.3 inches
  • Husbands' mean height: 69.9 inches
The mean gives us a central value that helps to summarize the data.
In regression, both predicted and actual values of one variable relative to another often revolve around their means. That's why understanding the mean height is important when determining the intercept (a constant in the regression line) because it helps contextualize the relationship from the baseline. In this context, the equation for the regression line incorporates these mean values to enhance the prediction of one variable based on the other.
Prediction Accuracy
Prediction accuracy in this context refers to how well the regression line can predict the height of husbands based on the height of wives. Although the exercise calculates a specific predicted height for a husband, there are limitations.
With a correlation coefficient of 0.5, there's only moderate predictability. This means that while the regression line offers an average prediction (like 71.41 inches for a husband when the wife is 67 inches tall), individual outcomes will vary.
  • Variation among individual couples shows the importance of using the correlation coefficient to set realistic expectations about prediction reliability.
  • External factors and personal preferences also play a role in actual height pairings beyond statistical relationships.
  • The wider the scatter of data points, the less accurate predictions will be.
Therefore, while the regression provides a mathematical model for prediction, real-life results will diverge due to the modest correlation and individual variability.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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