/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 46 An article in the New England Jo... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

An article in the New England Journal of Medicine describes a randomized controlled trial that compared the effects of using a balloon with a special coating in angioplasty (the repair of blood vessels) compared with a standard balloon. According to the article, the study was designed to have power \(90 \%\), with a two-sided Type I error of \(0.05\), to detect a clinically important difference of approximately 17 percentage points in the presence of certain lesions 12 months after surgery. 13 (a) What fixed significance level was used in calculating the power? (b) Explain to someone who knows no statistics why power \(90 \%\) means that the experiment would probably have been significant if there was a difference between the use of the balloon with a special coating compared to the use of the standard balloon.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) The fixed significance level is 0.05. (b) Power 90% signifies a high probability of detecting a true difference if one exists.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Fixed Significance Level

The significance level, also known as the Type I error rate, is given as 0.05. This means that the researchers are willing to accept a 5% chance of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis, which states that there is no difference between the two treatments.
02

Interpret the Power of the Study

The power of a study is the probability that it will correctly reject a false null hypothesis. A power of 90% means that there is a 90% chance of detecting a true effect or difference when one actually exists. This is considered a high power, indicating a good chance of detecting the clinically important difference if it is present.
03

Explain Significance in Simple Terms

When researchers say the power of the study is 90%, they mean that if there truly is a difference between the two types of balloons, there is a high probability (90%) that the study will find evidence of this difference. Essentially, it means that the experiment is very likely to yield a significant result if the special coating truly is more effective than the standard treatment.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Type I Error
In statistics, a Type I error is an important concept to grasp. It occurs when a researcher incorrectly rejects the null hypothesis, which proposes that there is no effect or no difference. In simpler terms, it's a false alarm. Imagine you're testing if a new drug works better than an old one. If the new drug is actually not more effective, but your study concludes that it is, a Type I error has occurred. Here's a practical way to remember it: it's like claiming there is fire when there's just smoke.

Type I errors can have serious implications, especially in medical research where incorrect conclusions may lead to unnecessary treatments. That's why studies are designed with a fixed significance level, commonly set at 0.05, to control the likelihood of making such an error. This means that there is a 5% risk of concluding that the new treatment is effective when it's not. This balance helps ensure we don't jump to conclusions without sufficient evidence.
Randomized Controlled Trial
A Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) is a gold standard method in scientific research. It is specifically designed to test the efficacy of healthcare interventions, like new medications or procedures. Imagine you're playing a game of chance. RCTs ensure that this game is fair and unbiased by randomly assigning participants into different groups. For instance, one group receives the treatment in question, while the other might receive a standard treatment or a placebo.

The beauty of RCTs lies in minimizing bias. By using randomization, researchers ensure that both known and unknown factors are evenly distributed among the groups. This leads to more reliable results and helps in confidently determining which treatment is truly better. In the exercise you read about, an RCT was used to compare balloons used in angioplasty, ensuring objective findings about their effectiveness.
  • Helps in eliminating selection bias
  • Provides robust evidence by random assignment
  • Often used in clinical settings and drug trials
Significance Level
The significance level, often denoted by the Greek letter alpha (\( \alpha \)), is a threshold set by researchers to decide when to reject the null hypothesis. Think of it as a line drawn in the sand. If the evidence crosses this line, the null hypothesis is thrown out, indicating there is a statistically significant effect.

In our context, a significance level of 0.05 means there is a 5% risk of concluding there is an effect when none actually exists, i.e., making a Type I error. This standard level is widely accepted in research fields since it offers a reasonable balance between being too lenient and too stringent. The lower the significance level, the stronger the evidence must be to reject the null hypothesis.

While a high significance level could lead to incorrect conclusions, a very low one might overlook true effects. Therefore, striking a balance is crucial, and 0.05 is commonly considered as a well-balanced risk level in scientific studies.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

How much education children get is strongly associated with the wealth and social status of their parents. In social science jargon, this is socioeconomic status, or SES. But the SES of parents has little influence on whether children who have graduated from college go on to yet more education. One study looked at whether college graduates took the graduate admissions tests for business, law, and other graduate programs. The effects of the parents' SES on taking the LSAT test for law school were "both statistically insignificant and small." (a) What does "statistically insignificant" mean? (b) Why is it important that the effects were small in size as well as insignificant?

In many science disciplines, women are outperformed by men on test scores. Will "values affirmation training" improve self-confidence and hence performance of women relative to men in science courses? A study conducted at a large university compares the scores of men and women at the end of a large introductory physics course on a nationally normed standardized test of conceptual physics, the Force and Motion Conceptual Evaluation (FMCE). Half the women in the course were given values affirmation training during the course; the other half received no training. The study reports that there was a significant difference \((P<0.01)\) in the gap between men's and women's scores, although the gap for women who received the values affirmation training was much smaller than that for women who did not receive training. As evidence that this gap was reduced for woman who received the training, the study also reports that a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean difference in scores on the FMCE exam between women who received the training and those who didn't is \(13 \pm 8\) points. You are a faculty member in the physics department, and the provost, who is interested in women in science, asks you about the study. (a) Explain in simple language what "a significant difference \((P<0.01)\) " means. (b) Explain clearly and briefly what " \(95 \%\) confidence" means. (c) Is this study good evidence that requiring values affirmation training of all female students would greatly reduce the gender gap in scores on science tests in college courses?

Emissions of sulfur dioxide by industry set off chemical changes in the atmosphere that result in "acid rain." The acidity of liquids is measured by \(\mathrm{pH}\) on a scale of 0 to 14 . Distilled water has \(\mathrm{pH} 7.0\), and lower \(\mathrm{pH}\) values indicate acidity. Normal rain is somewhat acidic, so acid rain is sometimes defined as rainfall with a \(\mathrm{pH}\) below 5.0. Suppose that \(\mathrm{pH}\) measurements of rainfall on different days in a Canadian forest follow a Normal distribution with standard deviation \(\sigma=0.6\). A sample of \(n\) days finds that the mean \(\mathrm{pH}\) is \(\mathrm{x}^{-} \bar{x}=4\).8. Is this good evidence that the mean \(\mathrm{pH} \mu\) for all rainy days is less than 5.0? The answer depends on the size of the sample. Either by hand or using the P-Value of a Test of Significance applet, carry out four tests of $$ \begin{aligned} &H_{0}: \mu=5.0 \\ &H_{a}: \mu<5.0 \end{aligned} $$ Use \(\sigma=0.6\) and \(x^{-} \bar{x}=4.8\) in all four tests. But use four different sample sizes: \(n=\) \(9, n=16, n=36\), and \(n=64\). (a) What are the \(P\)-values for the four tests? The P-value of the same result \(x^{-} \bar{x}\) \(=4.8\) gets smaller (more significant) as the sample size increases. (b) For each test, sketch the Normal curve for the sampling distribution of \(x^{-} \bar{x}\) when \(H_{0}\) is true. This curve has mean \(5.0\) and standard deviation \(0.6 / \mathrm{n} \sqrt{n}\). Mark the observed \(x^{-} \bar{x}=4.8\) on each curve. (If you use the applet, you can just copy the curves displayed by the applet.) The same result \(x-\bar{x}=4.8\) gets more extreme on the sampling distribution as the sample size increases.

Statisticians prefer large samples. Describe briefly the effect of increasing the size of a sample (or the number of subjects in an experiment) on each of the following: (a) The \(P\)-value of a test, when \(H_{0}\) is false and all facts about the population remain unchanged as \(n\) increases. (b) (Optional) The power of a fixed level \(\alpha\) test, when \(\alpha\), the alternative hypothesis, and all facts about the population remain unchanged.

A market researcher chooses at random from women entering a large upscale department store. One outcome of the study is a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the mean of "the highest price you would pay for a handbag." (a) Explain why this confidence interval does not give useful information about the population of all women. (b) Explain why it may give useful information about the population of women who shop at large upscale department stores.

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.