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A newbom baby has extremely low birth weight (ELBW) if it weighs less than 1000 grams. A study of the health of such children in later years examined a random sample of 219 children. Their mean weight at birth was \(x^{-}=810\) grams \(\bar{x}=810\) grams. This sample mean is an unbiased estimator of the mean weight \(\mu\) in the population of all ELBW babies. This means that (a) in many samples from this population, the mean of the many values of \(x^{-} \bar{x}\) will be equal to \(\mu\). (b) as we take larger and larger samples from this population, \(x^{-} x\) will get closer and closer to \(\mu\). (c) in many samples from this population, the many values of \(x^{-} \bar{x}\) will have a distribution that is close to Normal.

Short Answer

Expert verified
Option (a) is correct.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We are given that the sample mean \(\bar{x}=810\) grams is an unbiased estimator of the mean weight \(\mu\) in the population of ELBW babies. We need to determine what this implies about the sample and population relationship.
02

Identify the Definition of Unbiased Estimator

An unbiased estimator means that, on average, the estimate should equal the parameter it is estimating. In this context, the mean of the sample means \(\bar{x}\) should equal the population mean \(\mu\).
03

Review Option (a)

Option (a) states that in many samples from this population, the mean of the many values of \(\bar{x}\) will be equal to \(\mu\). This aligns with the definition of an unbiased estimator, supporting that the sample mean \(\bar{x}\) equals \(\mu\) on average.
04

Review Option (b)

Option (b) suggests that as we take larger samples, \(\bar{x}\) will get increasingly closer to \(\mu\). While this describes consistency, it is not specifically about unbiased estimation but rather about convergence.
05

Review Option (c)

Option (c) describes the sampling distribution of \(\bar{x}\) becoming normal. This refers to the Central Limit Theorem and is related to distribution shapes rather than unbiasedness directly.
06

Select the Correct Option

Since an unbiased estimator's mean is equal to the population parameter on average, option (a) correctly describes the nature of an unbiased estimator.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Unbiased Estimator
An unbiased estimator is a fundamental concept in statistics that helps us to make sense of what we measure. When we say an estimator is unbiased, we mean it has no systematic error. Essentially, if you were to take many samples from the same population, the average of the sample estimates will equal the true population parameter. For example, when considering the mean weight of extremely low birth weight (ELBW) babies, the sample mean \( \bar{x} = 810 \) grams is an unbiased estimator of the population mean \( \mu \). This means that in a large number of samples, the average of those sample means will be \( \mu \). By using unbiased estimators, we ensure that our predictions or estimates are accurate over time, given enough data.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a key principle in statistics and helps explain why the sample mean is such a reliable indicator. According to the CLT, regardless of the population distribution's shape, as long as you have a sufficiently large sample size, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will approach a normal distribution. This is particularly useful in the context of ELBW babies, as it assures us that even if the data for individual baby's weights isn't normally distributed, the sample means will still follow a normal pattern as samples get larger. This is why statisticians often rely on the normal distribution, as it's a predictable pattern that emerges from random sampling, and it makes our statistical inference reliable.
Sampling Distribution
In statistics, a sampling distribution describes the distribution of a particular statistic, like the sample mean, over many possible samples from the population. Consider all possible samples of ELBW babies; the sampling distribution of their mean weights would tell us how these sample means vary by sample. It provides a way to understand variability and uncertainty in sample estimates and is crucial for making inferences about the population. For unbiased estimators, like our sample mean of 810 grams, the average value of the sampling distribution equals the population mean \( \mu \). Thus, it's a tool that helps us gauge how estimates behave across different samples, bridging the gap between sample data and population parameters.
Population Mean
The population mean, often denoted by \( \mu \), is the average value of a characteristic—and in our case, the average birth weight—across the entire population. It is a central value we aim to estimate using sample data. The concept is vital because while we often cannot measure an entire population (due to constraints of time, cost, or simply impossibility), we can measure samples and use those to infer the population mean. For ELBW babies in this case, the population mean is inferred using the sample mean from the studied sample of 219 children. Understanding population mean and its estimation is crucial, since it helps us draw conclusions and make decisions based on the central tendency of a population.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A Sample of Young Men. A government sample survey plans to measure the total cholesterol level of an SRS of men aged \(20-34\). The researchers will report the mean \(x^{-} x\) from their sample as an estimate of the mean total cholesterol level \(\mu\) in this population. (a) Explain to somene who knows no statistics what it means to say that \(x^{-} \bar{x}\) is an "unbiased" estimator of \(\mu\). (b) The sample result \(x^{-} \bar{x}\) is an unbiased estimator of the population truth \(\mu\) no matter what size SRS the study uses. Explain to someone who knows no statistics why a large sample gives more trustworthy results than a small sample.

What Does the Central Limit Theorem Say? Asked what the central limit theorem says, a student replies, "As you take larger and larger samples from a population, the histogram of the sample values looks more and more Nonal." Is the student right? Explain your answer.

Sampling students. To estimate the mean score of those who took the Medical College Admission Test on your campes, you will obtain the scores of an SRS of students. From published information, you know that the scores are approximately Normal with standard deviation about 10.4. How large an SRS must you take to reduce the standard deviation of the sample mean score to 1 ?

The Medical College Admission Test. Almost all medical schools in the United States require students to take the Medical College Admission Test (MCAT). To estimate the mean score \(\mu\) of those who took the MCAT on your campus, you will obtain the scores of an SRS of students. The scores follow a Normal distribution, and from published information you know that the standard deviation is 10.4. Suppose that (unknown to you) the mean score of those taking the MCAT on your campus is \(500.0\). (a) If you choose one student at random, what is the probability that the student's score is between 495 and 505 ? (b) You sample 25 students. What is the sampling distribution of their average score \(\mathrm{x}^{-} \frac{2}{2}\) ? (c) What is the probability that the mean score of your sample is between 495 and 505 ?

The number of hours a battery lasts before failing varies from battery to battery. The distribution of failure times follows an exponential distribution (see Example \(15.7\) ), which is strongly skewed to the right. The central limit theorem says that (a) as we look at more and more batteries, their average failure time gets ever closer to the mean \(\mu\) for all batteries of this type. (b) the average failure time of a large number of batteries has a distribution of the same shape (strongly skewed) as the distribution for individual batteries. (c) the average failure time of a large number of batteries has a distribution that is close to Normal.

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