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Sampling students. To estimate the mean score of those who took the Medical College Admission Test on your campes, you will obtain the scores of an SRS of students. From published information, you know that the scores are approximately Normal with standard deviation about 10.4. How large an SRS must you take to reduce the standard deviation of the sample mean score to 1 ?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The required sample size is 109.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Question

We need to calculate the size of a Simple Random Sample (SRS) to ensure that the standard deviation of the sample mean of test scores is 1. The population standard deviation is given as 10.4.
02

Introduction to Sample Mean Standard Deviation

The standard deviation of the sample mean, also known as the standard error, is given by the formula \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( \sigma \) is the population standard deviation and \( n \) is the sample size.
03

Setting Up the Equation

We want the standard error to be 1, hence we set up the equation: \( \frac{10.4}{\sqrt{n}} = 1 \).
04

Solving for Sample Size

To solve for \( n \), we rearrange the equation: \( \sqrt{n} = \frac{10.4}{1} \). This simplifies to \( \sqrt{n} = 10.4 \). Now, square both sides to find \( n \): \( n = 10.4^2 \).
05

Calculating the Sample Size

Calculate \( n \) by squaring 10.4: \( n = 108.16 \). Since the sample size must be a whole number, round up to the nearest whole number, giving \( n = 109 \).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding Standard Error
The standard error is an important concept in statistics. In essence, it measures the variability or "spread" of sample means around the actual population mean. Actually, it's the standard deviation of the sample mean.
The formula for standard error is \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( \sigma \) represents the population standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
A crucial idea here is that as the sample size \( n \) increases, the standard error decreases. This means larger samples tend to give more precise estimates of the population mean.
  • Key: Small standard error leads to more reliable mean estimates.
  • Fluctuations: Smaller standard deviations indicate consistent values around the mean.
Understanding this concept aids in designing effective surveys and experiments, ultimately leading to more accurate results in research scenarios.
Sample Size Calculation Decoded
Calculating the right sample size is fundamental in research. If our goal is to reduce the standard deviation of the sample mean (or standard error) to a specific value, then finding the right sample size is crucial.
For example, to ensure the standard deviation of the sample mean is 1, we start by using the formula for standard error: \( \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = 1 \).
By rearranging this, \( n = \left(\frac{\sigma}{1}\right)^2 \), we can directly compute \( n \). With a few steps:
  • Determine \( \sigma \): Here \( \sigma = 10.4 \).
  • Set the desired standard error: In this case, it’s 1.
  • Solve for \( n \) which is \( 10.4^2 = 108.16 \), rounded up gives us 109.
A larger sample size minimizes error but may require more resources. This makes balancing accuracy and resources critical for reliable data analysis.
The Role of Normal Distribution
The concept of Normal distribution is a cornerstone in statistics. This distribution is sometimes referred to as a "bell curve," due to its characteristic symmetrical shape.
It's crucial because many real-world phenomena naturally follow a normal distribution—a pattern where most observations cluster around the mean. Considered ideal for many statistical analyses, predictions, and inferences, it supports reliable decision-making. In this context:
  • A sample derived from a normally distributed population allows estimates like the sample mean to be more precise.
  • The knowledge that test scores are approximately normally distributed (as in this example) gives confidence in using the standard error formula effectively.
This is why understanding normal distribution is essential—it's the backbone for developing sampling techniques and interpreting data in probabilistic terms.

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The Medical College Admission Test. Almost all medical schools in the United States require students to take the Medical College Admission Test (MCAT). To estimate the mean score \(\mu\) of those who took the MCAT on your campus, you will obtain the scores of an SRS of students. The scores follow a Normal distribution, and from published information you know that the standard deviation is 10.4. Suppose that (unknown to you) the mean score of those taking the MCAT on your campus is \(500.0\). (a) If you choose one student at random, what is the probability that the student's score is between 495 and 505 ? (b) You sample 25 students. What is the sampling distribution of their average score \(\mathrm{x}^{-} \frac{2}{2}\) ? (c) What is the probability that the mean score of your sample is between 495 and 505 ?

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