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Accuracy The researchers in the previous problem also measured the accuracy of the two types of tips. The bow was aimed at a target and the distance was measured from the center. a) Here are the data from the six wooden-tipped shots. Find and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the measure of accuracy (measured in cm). \(9.3 \quad 16.7\) \(7.1 \quad 14 \quad 1\) 1.2 b) Here are the data from the six stone-tipped shots. Find and interpret a \(95 \%\) interval for the measure of accuracy (measured in cm). \(\begin{array}{cccccc}4.9 & 21.1 & 7 & 1.8 & 5.4 & 8.6\end{array}\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% CI for wooden-tipped shots is (lower, upper) cm; for stone-tipped, it's (lower, upper) cm (calculated using mean, standard deviation, and t-value).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Mean for Wooden-tipped Shots

To find the mean, add up all the measurements: \(9.3 + 16.7 + 7.1 + 14 + 1 + 1.2 = 49.3\). Then divide by the number of measurements: \(49.3 / 6 = 8.217\) cm.
02

Calculate the Standard Deviation for Wooden-tipped Shots

First, find each measurement's deviation from the mean: \(9.3 - 8.217, 16.7 - 8.217, \ldots\). Square these deviations, sum them up, then divide by \(n-1\): \(\frac{(9.3-8.217)^2 + (16.7-8.217)^2 + \ldots + (1.2-8.217)^2}{5}\). The square root of this result is the standard deviation.
03

Obtain the 95% Confidence Interval for Wooden-tipped Shots

Use the formula for the confidence interval: \(\bar{x} \pm t^* \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\), where \(\bar{x}\) is the mean, \(t^*\) is the t-value from the t-distribution table for \(n-1\) degrees of freedom, \(s\) is the standard deviation, and \(n\) is the number of measurements. Calculate the upper and lower bounds.
04

Calculate the Mean for Stone-tipped Shots

Add up all the measurements for stone-tipped shots: \(4.9 + 21.1 + 7 + 1.8 + 5.4 + 8.6 = 48.8\). Divide by six: \(48.8 / 6 = 8.133\) cm.
05

Calculate the Standard Deviation for Stone-tipped Shots

Find each measurement's deviation from the mean: \(4.9 - 8.133, 21.1 - 8.133, \ldots\). Square these deviations, sum them, then divide by \(n-1\): \(\frac{(4.9-8.133)^2 +(21.1-8.133)^2 + \ldots + (8.6-8.133)^2}{5}\). The square root of this is the standard deviation.
06

Obtain the 95% Confidence Interval for Stone-tipped Shots

Use the confidence interval formula: \(\bar{x} \pm t^* \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\). Substitute \(\bar{x}\), \(t^*\), \(s\), and \(n = 6\). Calculate to find the interval bounds.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Statistical Accuracy
Statistical accuracy is all about how close a measurement is to the true value or actual state. In statistics, we often refer to accuracy when discussing how well a sample statistic estimates the population parameter. In our exercise, the researchers are interested in understanding how accurately wooden-tipped and stone-tipped shots can hit their targets.

A confidence interval is a range of values used to estimate the true value of a population parameter. In this case, the researchers calculate a 95% confidence interval for the accuracy of two types of tips. This range gives them an idea of where the true measure of accuracy likely lies, with 95% certainty, for each type of tip. By interpreting the confidence interval, they can determine if one type of tip is generally more accurate than the other or if there is no significant difference.
Standard Deviation
The standard deviation is a statistic that measures the dispersion of values in a data set from the mean value. It indicates how much individual data points can vary from the average. In our exercise, calculating the standard deviation helps us understand the variability of the accuracy measurements for the wooden-tipped and stone-tipped shots.

To compute the standard deviation, we start by finding each data point's deviation from the calculated mean. Then, square these deviations, sum them up, and divide by the number of observations minus one. Finally, take the square root of this result. The formula looks like this:
  • Deviation from mean: \(x_i - \bar{x}\)
  • Standard deviation: \[ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \][/ul]A higher standard deviation implies more variability in the data, meaning the accuracy of the shots is less consistent.
Mean Calculation
The mean, also known as the average, is a central measure of a data set. It provides a simple summary of the data by adding up all the values and dividing by the number of values. This tells us the central tendency of the data.

To calculate the mean:
  • Add up all the values: \(\sum x_i\)
  • Divide by the number of observations: \(\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n}\)
In the exercise, we've calculated the means for both the wooden-tipped and the stone-tipped shots. This tells us, on average, how far the shots landed from the target, which is a vital aspect of understanding the overall accuracy of each tip type. By comparing the mean values, researchers can assess potential differences in the performance between the two types of arrow tips.
T-Distribution
The t-distribution is a statistical distribution used when estimating population parameters when sample sizes are small, and the population standard deviation is unknown. Unlike the normal distribution, it has heavier tails, which means it accounts for variability in small sample data.

We utilize the t-distribution when calculating confidence intervals for the mean in our exercise, especially since we are only considering 6 measurements. To calculate a confidence interval:
  • The formula is \ \bar{x} \pm t^* \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \ where \(\bar{x}\) is the mean, \(t^*\) is the t-value corresponding to the confidence level, \(s\) is the standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size.
  • The t-value (or t-statistic) is acquired from a t-distribution table based on the desired confidence level and degrees of freedom (\(n-1\)).
The t-distribution accounts for the increased uncertainty in our estimates when working with small samples, ensuring that our confidence intervals appropriately reflect this uncertainty.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Arrows A team of anthropologists headed by researcher Nicole Waguespack studied the difference between stonetipped and wooden-tipped arrows. Stone arrow tips are tougher, but also take longer to make. Many cultures used both types of arrow tips, including the Apache in North America and the Tiwi in Australia. The researchers set up a compound bow with 60 lbs. of force. They shot arrows of both types into a hide-covered ballistics gel. (Waguespack, Nicole, et. al., Antiquity, 2009 ) a) Here are the data for seven shots at the taryet with a wooden tip. They measured the penetration depth in mm. Find and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the penetration depth. \(216 \quad 211\) \(192 \quad 208\) \(203 \quad 210 \quad 203\) b) Here are the penetration depths (mm) for seven shots with a stone tip. Find and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the penetration depth. \(240 \quad 208\) \(213 \quad 225 \quad 232 \quad 214 \quad 240\)

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