/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 16 Environmentalists concerned abou... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

Environmentalists concerned about the impact of high-frequency radio transmissions on birds found that there was no evidence of a higher mortality rate among hatchlings in nests near cell towers. They based this conclusion on a test using \(\alpha=0.05\). Would they have made the same decision at \(\alpha=0.10 ?\) How about \(\alpha=0.01 ?\) Explain.

Short Answer

Expert verified
With an increase in the significance level to \(\alpha=0.10\), the conclusion would likely be the same because the standard of evidence that must be exceeded to reject the null hypothesis would be lower. However, with a decrease in the significance level to \(\alpha=0.01\), it is not certain the conclusion would be the same as a stronger standard of evidence is required to reject the null hypothesis.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the impact of significance level on a decision

It is important to understand that as the significance level increases, it becomes easier to reject the null hypothesis because you are willing to accept more risk of being wrong. However, a lower significance level means you require more evidence against the null hypothesis before you are willing to reject it.
02

Commenting on \(\alpha=0.10\)

If the evidence was strong enough to reject the null hypothesis at a significance level of \(\alpha=0.05\), it will certainly be good enough to reject it at \(\alpha=0.10\) since the latter is a less strict standard.
03

Commenting on \(\alpha=0.01\)

However, if the significance level is lowered to \(\alpha=0.01\), it is not certain that the same conclusion would be reached because this lower level represents a more strict standard of evidence. More than likely, it would be harder to reject the null hypothesis at \(\alpha=0.01\) than at \(\alpha=0.05\) unless the evidence against the null hypothesis was very strong.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
The null hypothesis is a key concept in statistical hypothesis testing. It's something akin to the 'default' or starting assumption, which proposes that there is no effect or no difference in the case under investigation. For example, in the environmentalists' study about the impact of radio transmissions on bird hatchlings, the null hypothesis might be stated as 'There is no difference in mortality rate among hatchlings near cell towers compared to those farther away.'

This hypothesis serves as the basis for statistical tests, and evidence from the data is used to either reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. It’s important to note that 'failing to reject' the null hypothesis is not the same as accepting it; it simply means the evidence was not strong enough to rule it out. The process of testing the null hypothesis assists researchers in drawing conclusions about the broader population based on the data they’ve gathered from their sample.
Alpha Level
The alpha level, often denoted as \(\alpha\), is the threshold for statistical significance in hypothesis testing. In simpler terms, it's the cut-off point at which you would decide if the evidence against the null hypothesis is strong enough to be considered statistically significant. Commonly used alpha levels include 0.05, 0.01, and 0.10.

An alpha level of 0.05 means there is a 5% risk of concluding that a difference exists when there is none, often referred to as a Type I error. Adjusting the alpha level affects the robustness of your conclusion. A higher alpha level like 0.10 indicates a greater willingness to accept the risk of such an error, possibly leading to a 'false positive'. Conversely, a lower alpha level such as 0.01 argues for a more conservative approach, demanding stronger evidence against the null hypothesis before you reject it. Therefore, choosing an appropriate alpha level is a balance between the risk of a Type I error and the scope of the study.
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is a conclusion that a researcher can make about their data, indicating that the observed effect or difference is unlikely to have occurred by chance alone, given the assumed null hypothesis is true. When an effect or difference is said to be statistically significant, it typically means that the probability of obtaining such a result due to random variation is smaller than the alpha level.

In the context of the environmentalists' study, if they find that the mortality rate of hatchlings near cell towers is statistically significantly higher than those in other areas, they would have evidence to reject the null hypothesis at the chosen alpha level. However, reaching statistical significance does not mean the results are necessarily large, important, or practical - just that they're unlikely to be due to random chance. This concept is crucial for researchers to understand as it helps to assess the reliability of their findings and conclusions drawn from experimental or observational studies.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

An artist experimenting with clay to create pottery with a special texture has been experiencing difficulty with these special pieces. About \(40 \%\) break in the kiln during firing. Hoping to solve this problem, she buys some more expensive clay from another supplier. She plans to make and fire 10 pieces and will decide to use the new clay if at most one of them breaks. a. Suppose the new, expensive clay really is no better than her usual clay. What's the probability that this test convinces her to use it anyway? (Hint: Use a Binomial model.) b. If she decides to switch to the new clay and it is no better, what kind of error did she commit? c. If the new clay really can reduce breakage to only \(20 \%,\) what's the probability that her test will not detect the improvement? d. How can she improve the power of her test? Offer at least two suggestions.

A medical researcher tested a new treatment for poison ivy against the traditional ointment. He concluded that the new treatment is more effective. Explain what the P-value of 0.047 means in this context.

A statistics professor has observed that for several years students score an average of 105 points out of 150 on the semester exam. A salesman suggests that he try a statistics software package that gets students more involved with computers, predicting that it will increase students' scores. The software is expensive, and the salesman offers to let the professor use it for a semester to see if the scores on the final exam increase significantly. The professor will have to pay for the software only if he chooses to continue using it. a. Is this a one-tailed or two-tailed test? Explain. b. Write the null and alternative hypotheses. c. In this context, explain what would happen if the professor makes a Type I error. d. In this context, explain what would happen if the professor makes a Type II error. e. What is meant by the power of this test?

In a drawer are two coins. They look the same, but one coin produces heads \(90 \%\) of the time when spun while the other one produces heads only \(30 \%\) of the time. You select one of the coins. You are allowed to spin it once and then must decide whether the coin is the \(90 \%\) - or the \(30 \%\) -head coin. Your null hypothesis is that your coin produces \(90 \%\) heads. a. What is the alternative hypothesis? b. Given that the outcome of your spin is tails, what would you decide? What if it were heads? c. How large is \(\alpha\) in this case? d. How large is the power of this test? (Hint: How many possibilities are in the alternative hypothesis?) e. How could you lower the probability of a Type I error and increase the power of the test at the same time?

You are in charge of shipping computers to customers. You learn that a faulty chip was put into some of the machines. There's a simple test you can perform, but it's not perfect. All but \(4 \%\) of the time, a good chip passes the test, but unfortunately, \(35 \%\) of the bad chips pass the test, too. You have to decide on the basis of one test whether the chip is good or bad. Make this a hypothesis test. a. What are the null and alternative hypotheses? b. Given that a computer fails the test, what would you decide? What if it passes the test? c. How large is \(\alpha\) for this test? d. What is the power of this test?

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.