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Home values Assessment records indicate that the value of homes in a small city is skewed right, with a mean of \(\$ 140,000\) and standard deviation of \(\$ 60,000\). To check the accuracy of the assessment data, officials plan to conduct a detailed appraisal of 100 homes selected at random. Using the \(68-95-99.7\) Rule, draw and label an appropriate sampling model for the mean value of the homes selected.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The mean value of homes is \$140,000 with a standard error of \$6,000. According to the 68-95-99.7 rule, approximately 68% of the sample means will fall between \$134,000 and \$146,000, 95% between \$128,000 and \$152,000, and 99.7% will fall between \$122,000 and \$158,000.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the standard error

The standard error (SE) is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution. In other words, it's the standard deviation of the means of all possible samples of a given size from a population. The standard error can be calculated with the following formula: \(SE = \frac{σ}{\sqrt(n)}\), where \(σ\) is the population standard deviation and \(n\) is the sample size. So the Standard Error (SE) for the mean value of homes will be \(\$60,000 / \sqrt{100}\) = \$6,000.
02

Draw the sampling model using the 68-95-99.7 rule

According to the 68-95-99.7 rule, for a normally distributed set of data, 68% of data points will fall within plus or minus one standard error from the mean (\$140,000 ± \$6,000), 95% will fall within two standard errors (\$140,000 ± \$12,000), and 99.7% will fall within three standard errors (\$140,000 ± \$18,000). Label the mean (µ = \$140,000) in the center of your drawing, then sketch the deviations appropriately based on the calculated standard error.
03

Interpret the Model

The model gives an understanding of where the mean house price is likely to fall assuming the appraisal of 100 houses is a random sample from the population of all houses. If officials repeat the sampling many times, they can expect 68% of the sample means to fall between \$134,000 and \$146,000, 95% to fall between \$128,000 and \$152,000, and virtually all (99.7%) to fall between \$122,000 and \$158,000. This gives a perspective on the variability they might see from sample to sample.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Error
In statistical terms, the standard error (SE) is a critical concept as it provides an estimate of the variability or dispersion of sample means around the population mean. It essentially describes how accurately a sample mean can estimate the population mean. The formula to calculate the standard error is:
  • \( SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \)
Here, \( \sigma \) is the population standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
This measure proves particularly useful when dealing with large datasets gathered randomly, as it helps determine how much sample means will deviate from the actual population mean. In the exercise scenario, the provided population standard deviation is \(60,000, and the sample size is 100. By substituting these values into the formula, we find:
  • \( SE = \frac{60,000}{\sqrt{100}} = 6,000 \)
This tells us that if we were to take many random samples of 100 homes, the average mean of these samples would likely be within \)6,000 of the overall mean estimate of $140,000.
Central Limit Theorem
The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is a fundamental principle in statistics which states that the distribution of the sample mean will approach a normal distribution as the sample size becomes larger, regardless of the shape of the population distribution, provided the data are independent and identically distributed. This theorem is vitally important because:
  • It allows for the approximation of the behavior of data using normal distribution, which simplifies the analysis.
  • Even with a right-skewed population, such as home values in our exercise, the sampling distribution of the mean of samples drawn will increasingly resemble a normal distribution when the sample size is large, such as 100 homes.
Because of the CLT, the average home value in large samples can be modeled with a narrow, predictable range of outcomes. This means results can be generalized to accurately understand and predict the population's characteristics. In the case of our sample of homes, it implies that despite the overall skewness of home prices, the sampling distribution is likely still bell-shaped when it comes to the average house price.
68-95-99.7 Rule
The 68-95-99.7 Rule, also known as the empirical rule, is an essential statistical guideline concerning normal distributions. It describes how data falls within standard deviations from the mean in any normally-distributed dataset:
  • Approximately 68% of data within one standard deviation (±1 SE).
  • Roughly 95% within two standard deviations (±2 SE).
  • Virtually all (99.7%) within three standard deviations (±3 SE).
In our home price example, this rule allows us to interpret the sampling distribution. Given the standard error of $6,000:
  • 68% of sample means are expected to lie between $134,000 and $146,000.
  • 95% would span $128,000 to $152,000.
  • 99.7% between $122,000 and $158,000.
This rule provides visual and statistical insights that help officials understand the likely range of sample means. It anticipates where most of the sample means will cluster when multiple random samples are taken. By modeling and illustrating data using the 68-95-99.7 Rule, estimations become more precise, enhancing decision-making processes based on statistical inference.

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