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Lifetimes of electronic components can often be modeled by an Exponential model. Suppose quality control engineers want to model the lifetime of a hard drive to have a mean lifetime of 3 years. a. What value of \(\lambda\) should they use? b. With this model, what would the probability be that a hard drive lasts 5 years or less?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The parameter \(\lambda\) should be 0.333, and the probability that a hard drive will last 5 years or less is approximately 0.8 (or 80%).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate parameter \(\lambda\)

The parameter \(\lambda\) is calculated as \(1/mean\). In this case, mean is given as 3 years. Therefore, \(\lambda = 1/3 = 0.333\).
02

Calculate the cumulative distribution function (CDF)

The cumulative distribution function for the exponential distribution is given by \(1 - e^{-\lambda x}\). Now replace \(\lambda = 0.333\) (from step 1) and \(x = 5\) to find the probability that a hard drive lasts 5 years or less. \n Therefore, the CDF = \(1 - e^{-0.333 * 5} \approx 0.8\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Quality Control
Quality control is essential for ensuring that products meet specific standards and function as expected. For electronic components, this involves assessing their lifetimes, or how long they last before failing. By understanding and predicting these lifetimes, companies can ensure better performance and reliability for their products.

A common statistical model used in quality control for predicting product lifetimes is the exponential distribution. This model helps organizations to:
  • Monitor product quality over time.
  • Identify issues early and improve manufacturing processes.
  • Ensure customer satisfaction by reducing the rate of failures.
By applying the exponential distribution, quality control engineers can systematically evaluate the expected performance of products, like hard drives, increasing overall efficiency and reducing costs.
Mean Lifetime
The mean lifetime of a product is the average time it is expected to function before failing. For this exercise, the mean lifetime of a hard drive is given as 3 years. In mathematical models like the exponential distribution, mean lifetime influences the calculation of specific parameters.

Specifically, the parameter \( \lambda \) is calculated as the reciprocal of the mean lifetime. So, for a mean of 3 years, \( \lambda \) becomes:
\[ \lambda = \frac{1}{3} = 0.333 \]
This parameter \( \lambda \) helps in determining the probability of a product lasting beyond a certain period. Understanding the mean lifetime allows companies to predict product behavior more accurately, ensuring products meet reliability standards.
Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
The cumulative distribution function (CDF) for an exponential distribution provides the probability that a random variable is less than or equal to a certain value. It's vital in understanding how long a product like a hard drive will last. For exponential distributions, the CDF is expressed as:

\[ CDF = 1 - e^{-\lambda x} \]
Where:
  • \( \lambda \) is the rate parameter, calculated as the inverse of the mean lifetime.
  • \( x \) is the time or age of the product.
Using the values \( \lambda = 0.333 \) and \( x = 5 \) years:
\[ CDF = 1 - e^{-0.333 \times 5} \approx 0.8 \]
This result indicates there's about an 80% chance that a hard drive will last 5 years or less. The CDF is a powerful tool in quality control, helping businesses to understand and predict product performance effectively.

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