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You pick three cards at random from a deck. Find the probability of each event described below. a. You get no aces. b. You get all hearts. c. The third card is your first red card. d. You have at least one diamond.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The answers are approximately 0.78281 for a, 0.01294 for b, 0.32539 for c, and 0.83612 for d.

Step by step solution

01

Problem a

There are 4 aces in a deck and there are \({{52}\choose{3}} = 22100\) possible sets of 3 cards. The number of sets of 3 cards with no aces is \({{48}\choose{3}} = 17296\). Thus, the probability of drawing three cards with none of them being an ace is \(\frac{{48}\choose{3}}{{52}\choose{3}} = \frac{17296}{22100} = 0.78281.\)
02

Problem b

There are 13 hearts in the deck. Therefore, the number of ways to pick 3 hearts is \({{13}\choose{3}} = 286\). Thus, the probability of drawing three hearts is \(\frac{{13}\choose{3}}{{52}\choose{3}} = \frac{286}{22100} = 0.01294.\)
03

Problem c

The probability that the first two cards chosen are not red (26 out of 52 cards are red) and the third one is, is given as \(\frac{{26}\choose{2} * 26}{{52}\choose{3}} = 0.32539.\)
04

Problem d

At least one diamond means one diamond, two diamonds, or three diamonds. Since there are 13 diamonds in a deck, the probabilities are \(\frac{{13}\choose{1} * {{39}\choose{2}}}{{52}\choose{3}}, \frac{{13}\choose{2} * {{39}\choose{1}}}{{52}\choose{3}}, \) and \(\frac{{13}\choose{3}}{{52}\choose{3}}\) respectively. Add these three to get the total probability, the numerical value approximately equals 0.83612.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Combinatorics in Card Games
Combinatorics is the branch of mathematics that deals with counting, both as a means and an end in obtaining results, and certain properties of finite structures. It is foundational when calculating the probability of events in card games such as poker or bridge. A standard deck of cards has 52 unique cards, consisting of four suits with 13 ranks each. To understand probabilities in card games, you must grasp how to count possible combinations of cards.

For example, the number of combinations of 3 cards from a deck, without regard to the order of selection, is calculated using the combination formula \( {n \choose k} \), where \( n \) is the total number of cards and \( k \) is the number of cards drawn. In this case, \( {52 \choose 3} \) or 22,100 combinations represent all the possible ways you can draw 3 cards from the deck. Understanding combinations allows you to approach problems methodically, like those involving the likelihood of drawing aces, hearts, or cards from a particular suit.

By mastering combinatorics, you can effectively navigate through the myriad of possible outcomes and better strategize your game play, or simply calculate your chances of winning a particular hand in a card game.
Probability Calculations
Probability calculations are crucial in determining the likelihood of various outcomes in games of chance such as card games. To calculate the probability of an event, you divide the number of favorable outcomes by the number of all possible outcomes. Simplifying the understanding of probabilities can be achieved by considering the ratio between the successful events of interest and all possible events.

For instance, when trying to find out the probability of drawing no aces, you first work out how many sets of three cards can be made without aces—this represents the number of favorable outcomes. With 48 non-ace cards in the deck, this is computed as \( {48 \choose 3} \) or 17,296 setups. Then, considering the total possible outcomes, \( {52 \choose 3} \) or 22,100, the probability is the ratio of these two numbers, yielding approximately 0.78281.

Use a step-by-step approach to calculate probabilities to ensure each calculation is clear and comprehensible. By breaking down these steps, you can master the art of predicting the outcome of your next card drawn, bolstering both your understanding and your gameplay.
Card Deck Probabilities
Card deck probabilities hinge on the makeup and rules of a standard deck of cards, which contains 52 cards split equally into red and black suits, further subdivided into four suits namely hearts, diamonds, clubs, and spades. To navigate card deck probabilities, you need to understand the distribution of cards and their characteristics.

For example, if the event is about drawing at least one diamond, this event includes drawing one, two, or three diamonds. The probabilities for each of these sub-events are calculated by finding all possible combinations that satisfy the condition and then summing them up. There are 13 diamonds and 39 non-diamonds in the deck. So, the probability for drawing diamonds in groups of 1, 2, or 3 are \( {13 \choose 1} \times {39 \choose 2} \), \( {13 \choose 2} \times {39 \choose 1} \), and \( {13 \choose 3} \), respectively, all divided by the total possibilities \( {52 \choose 3} \).

By understanding these elements and applying probability formulas, you can determine the chances of various card combinations, giving you a deeper appreciation and foresight into the game at hand.

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