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Sampling students A professor teaching a large lecture class of 350 students samples her class by rolling a die. Then, starting with the row number on the die (1 to 6 ), she passes out a survey to every fourth row of the large lecture hall. She says that this is a simple random sample because everyone had an equal opportunity to sit in any seat and because she randomized the choice of rows. What do you think? Be specific.

Short Answer

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The professor's claim is incorrect. Despite the random choice of row number determined by the die, not all students have an equal probability of being included in the sample. The sampling method introduced a bias, therefore, it is not a simple random sample.

Step by step solution

01

Understand Simple Random Sampling

Simple random sampling is a subset of individuals (a sample) chosen from a larger set (a population) where each individual has an equal probability of being chosen. For this method to work, every student should have the exact same opportunity to be selected, which means every combination of students have the same chance of being the rows selected for the survey.
02

Analyze the Sampling Method

By starting with the number on the die and then passing out the surveys to every fourth row, not all students have the same probability of being included in the sample. The students in the first three rows will never be selected, and the probability of other students being selected depends on their distance from the first row.
03

Conclude the Analysis

Thus, this method does not provide a simple random sample. While it is true that she randomized the choice of rows, and everyone had the opportunity to sit in any seat, these facts do not ensure equal probability of selection for all students. The assumption that 'everyone had an equal opportunity to sit in any seat' does not mean everyone has an equal opportunity to be selected in the survey. The professor's method is introducing an unnecessary bias into the sampling process.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Simple Random Sampling
Simple random sampling is a fundamental concept in statistics. It involves selecting a subset from a larger population in such a way that every possible subset of the same size has an equal chance of being chosen.
In simpler terms, imagine you have a bag of 100 colored marbles, and you need to pull out 10. If you close your eyes and pick any 10 marbles at random, you're conducting a simple random sample, assuming the marbles are indeed mixed well and every marble has an equal chance of being selected.
This method ensures that the sample is representative of the entire population, minimizing bias and helping researchers to make generalizations about the whole group. However, it's essential to adhere strictly to the principles of randomization to maintain the simplicity and fairness of this sampling method.
Probability
Probability refers to the likelihood that a certain event will occur. It's a fundamental element of both statistics and sampling techniques.
In sampling, probability is used to determine how likely it is that a particular individual will be chosen for the sample. The idea is to ensure a level of fairness and neutrality in selection so that results can be trusted.
For instance, when a professor rolls a die to decide which row to start the sampling process, she's employing a probability mechanism. However, for her sampling to be fair in a simple random sampling context,
  • Every student should have an equal probability of being selected.
  • The probability should not depend on seating arrangement.
Otherwise, some students or groups, like those in a certain seating location, might have a skewed chance, which violates the principles of fair probability in sampling.
Bias in Sampling
Bias in sampling occurs when some members of a population are more likely to be included in the sample than others, leading to unrepresentative results.
This is an issue because it can distort findings and lead to conclusions that don't reflect the true characteristics of the population.
In the exercise example, the method introduces bias by selecting only a subset of rows, which inadvertently excludes many students based solely on their seating location. Having a number decided by a die does not eliminate this bias, as it still doesn't grant all individuals an equal chance to be part of the sample.
Some common causes of sampling bias include:
  • Non-random seating or grouping.
  • Inflexible selection method that doesn't cover all possibilities.
  • Misplaced assumption that randomness has been achieved where it has not.
Awareness and careful design are key to minimizing such biases in the sampling process.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

More sampling methods Consider each of these situations. Do you think the proposed sampling method is appropriate? Explain. a. We want to know if there is neighborhood support to turn a vacant lot into a playground. We spend a Saturday afternoon going door-to-door in the neighborhood, asking people to sign a petition. b. We want to know if students at our college are satisfied with the selection of food available on campus. We go to the largest cafeteria and interview every 10 th person in line.

Gallup At its website (www.gallup.com), the Gallup Poll publishes results of a new survey each day. Scroll down to the end, and you'll find a statement that includes words suchas these: Results are based on telephone interviews with 1016 national adults, aged 18 and older, conducted March \(7-10,2014 \ldots .\) In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls. a. For this survey, identify the population of interest. b. Gallup performs its surveys by phoning numbers generated at random by a computer program. What is the sampling frame? c. What problems, if any, would you be concerned about in matching the sampling frame with the population?

More survey questions Examine each of the following questions for possible bias. If you think the question is biased, indicate how and propose a better question. a. Do you think high school students should be required to wear uniforms? b. Given humanity's great tradition of exploration, do you favor continued funding for space flights?

In Exercises 17 ? to 23 ?, for the reports about statistical studies, identify the following items (if possible). If you can't tell, then say so - this often happens when we read about a survey. a. The population b. The population parameter of interest c. The sampling frame d. The sample e. The sampling method, including whether or not randomization was employed f. Who (if anyone) was left out of the study g. Any potential sources of bias you can detect and any problems you see in generalizing to the population of interest Soil samples The Environmental Protection Agency took soil samples at 16 locations near a former industrial waste dump and checked each for evidence of toxic chemicals. They found no elevated levels of any harmful substances.

Roper Through their Roper Reports Worldwide, GfK Roper conducts a global consumer survey to help multinational companies understand different consumer attitudes throughout the world. Within 30 countries, the researchers interview 1000 people aged 13-65. Their samples are designed so that they get 500 males and 500 females in each country. (www.gfkamerica.com) a. Are they using a simple random sample? Explain. b. What kind of design do you think they are using?

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