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91Ó°ÊÓ

What sample size is needed to give the desired margin of error in estimating a population mean with the indicated level of confidence? A margin of error within ±0.5 with \(90 \%\) confidence, if we make a reasonable estimate that \(\sigma=25\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The required sample size is approximately 27,115.

Step by step solution

01

- Identify Known Variables

In this exercise, the known variables are the margin of error \(E = 0.5\), the standard deviation \(\sigma = 25\), and the confidence level which is \(90\%\).
02

- Calculating the Z-Score

For a \(90\%\) confidence level, look up the Z-score in a standard normal distribution table or use a Z-score calculator. The Z-score for \(90\%\) confidence level is approximately \(1.645\).
03

- Use the Formula for Sample Size

The formula for the sample size in estimation of population mean is \[n = \left(\frac{Z\sigma}{E}\right)^2\]. Plug in the known values: \[n = \left(\frac{1.645 * 25}{0.5}\right)^2\].
04

- Calculate Sample Size

Perform the calculation which will give you the sample size needed.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
Understanding the margin of error is critical when conducting surveys or experiments and trying to estimate population parameters. Essentially, it's the radius of the confidence interval for a given statistic. It tells us how much we can expect the survey's result to differ from the true population value.
For instance, if you're estimating a population mean, the margin of error helps determine the range within which the true mean likely falls. It's affected by factors like sample size, standard deviation, and confidence level. In the given exercise, the margin of error is ±0.5, meaning the true population mean is estimated to be within 0.5 units of the sample mean, in either direction.
Confidence Level
The confidence level is a measure of certainty regarding how well a sample reflects the population being studied. It's typically expressed as a percentage. For example, a 90% confidence level means that if you were to take 100 different samples and compute 100 confidence intervals, you would expect about 90 of those intervals to contain the population mean.
This concept does not guarantee that a particular interval will contain the true mean, but it expresses a degree of certainty across many intervals calculated from many samples. In the exercise, the goal was to estimate the population mean with a 90% confidence level.
Z-Score
The Z-score plays an essential role in statistics, especially when it comes to the standard normal distribution. It's a measure of how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. A Z-score can also be understood as a conversion of a value to a standardized score.
In the context of sample size estimation, it is used to determine how far away from the mean a data point is under the normal distribution curve corresponding to your desired confidence level. For a 90% confidence level, as used in the example, the Z-score is approximately 1.645. This value helps us calculate how large of a sample size we need to estimate the population mean within the desired margin of error.
Population Mean
The population mean is the average value of a population attribute. It's what researchers aim to estimate when they cannot measure every individual in the population. Instead, they use sample data to estimate this value.
The population mean is a parameter that represents the central point of the data distribution for a given variable. The goal of many statistical tests and confidence intervals is to estimate this population mean as accurately as possible given the constraints of sample size and variability in the data.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a set of values. A low standard deviation indicates that the values tend to be close to the mean of the set, while a high standard deviation indicates that the values are spread out over a wider range.
In the exercise question, the standard deviation (denoted as \(\sigma\)) is given as 25. This high value implies there is considerable variability in the population's data. When estimating sample sizes, standard deviation is pivotal because it affects the margin of error. A larger standard deviation usually requires a larger sample size to achieve the same margin of error for a given confidence level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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