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Using the dataset NutritionStudy, we calculate that the average number of grams of fat consumed in a day for the sample of \(n=315\) US adults in the study is \(\bar{x}=77.03\) grams with \(s=33.83\) grams. (a) Find and interpret a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the average number of fat grams consumed per day by US adults. (b) What is the margin of error? (c) If we want a margin of error of only ±1 , what sample size is needed?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 95% confidence interval is (75.00, 79.06) grams. The margin of error is 2.03 grams. A sample size of approximately 4435 is required to achieve a margin of error of ±1.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the Confidence Interval

Make use of the given sample mean, standard deviation, and sample size to calculate the 95% confidence interval. The formula for a confidence interval is as follows: \[\bar{x} \pm z \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\], Where: \(\bar{x}\) is the sample mean, \(z\) is the z-score, \(s\) is the standard deviation, and \(n\) is the sample size. For a 95% confidence interval, \(z\) is approximately 1.96.
02

Compute Margin of Error

Calculate the margin of error. The margin of error is basically the product of the z-score and the standard error, and it provides an estimate of how much the sampled mean is expected to vary from the real population mean. The formula is: \(E = z \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}}\).
03

Determining the Required Sample Size

To obtain a margin of error of only ±1, calculate the required sample size. The formula to obtain this is: \(n = \left(\frac{z \times s}{E}\right)^2\), with \(E\) being the desired margin of error.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
The margin of error provides us with a range that reflects how much the sample mean is expected to differ from the true population mean. It helps quantify the certainty in estimating the population parameter based on the sample data gathered. In our exercise, we calculated the margin of error by using the formula: \[ E = z \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]where \( E \) is the margin of error, \( z \) is the z-score corresponding to the desired confidence level (1.96 for a 95% confidence level), \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n \) stands for the sample size. Here's a breakdown of the process:
  • Identify the z-score for the given confidence level
  • Calculate the standard error \( \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \)
  • Multiply the z-score by the standard error to find \( E \)
With our dataset, the sample mean was 77.03 grams and the standard deviation was 33.83 grams, resulting in a specific margin of error. This tells us the range within which the actual population mean likely falls if repeated samples were taken.
Sample Size Calculation
Determining the appropriate sample size is crucial when you want a specific level of precision (i.e., a specific margin of error) in your results. The aim is usually to balance practicality and accuracy. In our example, to achieve a margin of error of ±1, we used the sample size formula:\[ n = \left(\frac{z \times s}{E}\right)^2 \]In this formula:
  • \( n \) is the required sample size
  • \( z \) is the z-score for the confidence level
  • \( s \) is the standard deviation of the sample
  • \( E \) represents the desired margin of error
For a 95% confidence interval, the z-score used was 1.96. By substituting our known values into this formula, we can calculate the number of participants needed to ensure our margin of error stays within ±1. This calculation assists in ensuring that data collection resources are optimally utilized while guaranteeing the desired precision.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis involves using mathematical tools to understand and summarize data properties, such as the mean, variance, and confidence intervals. It plays a central role in making data-driven decisions and predictions.In the given exercise:
  • We first calculated the sample mean \(\bar{x}\), representing the average observation in our sample.
  • Next, we determined the standard deviation \(s\) to understand data variability.
  • We used these calculations to establish a confidence interval, which gives us a range within which we are confident the true population mean lies, usually at a 95% confidence level.
Confidence intervals and statistical metrics like the margin of error enable us to measure certainty and make predictions about broader populations. They provide the framework for scientific research and help create effective sampling strategies.

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