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Comparing Males to Females In the survey, \(17 \%\) of the men said they had used online dating, while \(14 \%\) of the women said they had. (a) Find a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the difference in the proportion saying they used online dating, between men and women. The standard error of the estimate is 0.016 . (b) Is it plausible that there is no difference between men and women in how likely they are to use online dating? Use the confidence interval from part (a) to answer and explain your reasoning.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The confidence interval for the difference in the proportion of men and women using online dating is (-0.011216, 0.101216). This includes a possible difference of zero, suggesting it is plausible that there's no significant difference in online dating usage between men and women.

Step by step solution

01

Calculation of Confidence Interval

To calculate the confidence interval, first, find the difference in the two proportions. Subtract the percentage of women who reported using online dating from the percentage of men. This gives \(0.17 - 0.14 = 0.03\) or \(3\%\). Now, to find the 99% confidence interval, multiply the standard error by the corresponding z-score for a 99% confidence interval, which is 2.576. So, the margin of error would be \(2.576 * 0.016 = 0.041216\). Finally, subtract and add this margin of error from the difference of the proportions to find the confidence interval. Thus, the confidence interval is \((0.03 - 0.041216, 0.03 + 0.041216) = (-0.011216, 0.101216)\).
02

Interpret the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval calculated includes both negative and positive values. This means that the proportion of men who have used online dating could be less than, equal, or more than women that have used it.
03

Analyse the plausibility of no difference

As the confidence interval includes zero, it suggests that there may be no difference between men and women on their likelihood to use online dating. If there were a significant difference, zero would not be included in the interval. Thus, based on this 99% confidence interval, it is plausible that there is no significant difference between men and women in usage of online dating.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Difference in Proportions
To understand the concept of difference in proportions, let's consider an example involving online dating usage amongst men and women. In the given survey, 17% of men and 14% of women reported using online dating. The task is to determine whether there is a notable difference in these proportions. The difference in proportions is simply calculated as the proportion of one group minus the proportion of the other. Here, it is calculated as \( 0.17 - 0.14 = 0.03 \), which indicates a 3% higher usage among men compared to women.

This step is key as it helps us to quantify the variation between the two groups. If this difference is statistically significant, it can provide insights into the behavioral tendencies of these groups regarding online dating. Calculating the difference in proportions is a foundational step before conducting further statistical analysis, such as constructing a confidence interval or hypothesis testing.
Online Dating Survey
Surveys are instrumental in gathering data on particular behaviors or experiences within different demographic groups. In this case, the "Online Dating Survey" aims to measure the prevalence of online dating usage among men and women. Surveys like these can offer
  • a simple view into the behaviors and trends within a population,
  • highlight differences or similarities between various sectors of society, and
  • inform decisions related to marketing, policy-making, or academic research.
The results from such surveys can reflect much more than just numbers—they tell stories about societal trends, preferences, and changes. However, interpreting survey data requires careful statistical analysis to ensure that the observed differences are not just due to random chance but are statistically significant.
Statistical Analysis
Statistical analysis is crucial to making sense of survey data and determining the reliability of results. After calculating a difference in proportions—like the 3% gap between men and women's use of online dating—a confidence interval gives us a range within which the true difference likely falls. In this context, we calculated the 99% confidence interval using the formula:\[\text{Confidence Interval} = \text{Proportion Difference} \pm (Z \times \text{Standard Error})\]where the z-score for a 99% interval is 2.576 and the standard error is 0.016. Once these calculations are done, our interval is \((-0.011216, 0.101216)\).

Interpreting this interval helps us understand the plausibility of a difference existing between the groups. If the interval includes zero, it indicates that there could be no significant difference, as seen in our example. Statistical analysis thus sheds light on whether disparities in data reflect real trends or are merely coincidental.

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