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91Ó°ÊÓ

Test \(\mathrm{A}\) is described in a journal article as being significant with " \(P<.01\) "; Test \(\mathrm{B}\) in the same article is described as being significant with " \(P<\).10." Using only this information, which test would you suspect provides stronger evidence for its alternative hypothesis?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Test A provides stronger evidence for its alternative hypothesis because it has a lower P-value than Test B.

Step by step solution

01

- Understanding the P-value

The P-value represented as 'P' in the problem statement is a measure of how much evidence we have against the null hypothesis. The lower the P-value, the more evidence we have to reject our null hypothesis and therefore more evidence in favor of the alternative hypothesis.
02

- Compare the P-values

Test A has a P-value of less than .01 and Test B has a P-value less than .10. It is clearly seen that P-value of Test A is lower.
03

- Determining the test with stronger evidence

As we have observed in step 2, Test A has a lower P-value, there is more evidence against the null hypothesis and therefore it provides stronger evidence in favor of its alternative hypothesis.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the Null Hypothesis
In statistical testing, the null hypothesis is a starting assumption that there is no effect or no difference in a particular situation or experiment. It serves as the default or "status quo" that a test aims to challenge. The null hypothesis is denoted as \( H_0 \). For instance, if we're testing a new drug, the null hypothesis might state that the drug has no effect on patients.
Understanding this concept is crucial because the goal of many tests is to determine whether there is enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis in favor of the alternative one. If the evidence from the data significantly contradicts \( H_0 \), we reject \( H_0 \), suggesting that there might be an effect or difference worth investigating further. This is where statistical significance comes into play, guiding us on whether or not to reject \( H_0 \).
Exploring the Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, denoted as \( H_1 \) or \( H_a \), represents the statement that we are seeking evidence for in statistical tests. It is the opposite of the null hypothesis and often suggests that there is an effect or a difference.
For example, in a study assessing the impact of a new medication, the alternative hypothesis might propose that the medication does lead to improved health outcomes compared to a placebo.
  • If evidence strongly supports the alternative hypothesis over the null hypothesis, it means the findings are significant—that a real effect exists.
  • This doesn't always "prove" the alternative hypothesis is true, but it does indicate that the effects observed in the data are unlikely due to random chance.
Ultimately, the p-value helps us in assessing whether we should lean towards supporting the alternative hypothesis and thus rejecting the null hypothesis.
Statistical Significance in Hypothesis Testing
Statistical significance is a crucial concept in hypothesis testing. It helps decide whether the results of an experiment or a study are likely to be genuine or if they could have happened by random chance. The measure often used to determine statistical significance is the p-value.
  • A lower p-value indicates stronger evidence against the null hypothesis, suggesting that the results are statistically significant.
  • Generally, a p-value threshold (often \( \alpha = 0.05 \)) is set before testing. If the p-value is below this threshold, the results are considered statistically significant, and we reject the null hypothesis.
In our original exercise, Test A, with a p-value of less than 0.01, offers more robust evidence against the null hypothesis compared to Test B with a p-value of less than 0.10. This signals that Test A's results are more statistically significant, making it a stronger candidate for supporting its alternative hypothesis.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Numerous studies have shown that a high fat diet can have a negative effect on a child's health. A new study \(^{22}\) suggests that a high fat diet early in life might also have a significant effect on memory and spatial ability. In the double-blind study, young rats were randomly assigned to either a high-fat diet group or to a control group. After 12 weeks on the diets, the rats were given tests of their spatial memory. The article states that "spatial memory was significantly impaired" for the high-fat diet rats, and also tells us that "there were no significant differences in amount of time exploring objects" between the two groups. The p-values for the two tests are 0.0001 and 0.7 . (a) Which p-value goes with the test of spatial memory? Which p-value goes with the test of time exploring objects? (b) The title of the article describing the study states "A high-fat diet causes impairment" in spatial memory. Is the wording in the title justified (for rats)? Why or why not?

Flying Home for the Holidays, On Time In Exercise 4.115 on page \(302,\) we compared the average difference between actual and scheduled arrival times for December flights on two major airlines: Delta and United. Suppose now that we are only interested in the proportion of flights arriving more than 30 minutes after the scheduled time. Of the 1,000 Delta flights, 67 arrived more than 30 minutes late, and of the 1,000 United flights, 160 arrived more than 30 minutes late. We are testing to see if this provides evidence to conclude that the proportion of flights that are over 30 minutes late is different between flying United or Delta. (a) State the null and alternative hypothesis. (b) What statistic will be recorded for each of the simulated samples to create the randomization distribution? What is the value of that statistic for the observed sample? (c) Use StatKey or other technology to create a randomization distribution. Estimate the p-value for the observed statistic found in part (b). (d) At a significance level of \(\alpha=0.01\), what is the conclusion of the test? Interpret in context. (e) Now assume we had only collected samples of size \(75,\) but got essentially the same proportions (5/75 late flights for Delta and \(12 / 75\) late flights for United). Repeating steps (b) through (d) on these smaller samples, do you come to the same conclusion?

Does the airline you choose affect when you'll arrive at your destination? The dataset DecemberFlights contains the difference between actual and scheduled arrival time from 1000 randomly sampled December flights for two of the major North American airlines, Delta Air Lines and United Air Lines. A negative difference indicates a flight arrived early. We are interested in testing whether the average difference between actual and scheduled arrival time is different between the two airlines. (a) Define any relevant parameter(s) and state the null and alternative hypotheses. (b) Find the sample mean of each group, and calculate the difference in sample means. (c) Use StatKey or other technology to create a randomization distribution and find the p-value. (d) At a significance level of \(\alpha=0.01\), what is the conclusion of the test? Interpret the conclusion in context.

For each situation described, indicate whether it makes more sense to use a relatively large significance level (such as \(\alpha=0.10\) ) or a relatively small significance level (such as \(\alpha=0.01\) ). Using a sample of 10 games each to see if your average score at Wii bowling is significantly more than your friend's average score.

State the null and alternative hypotheses for the statistical test described. Testing to see if there is evidence that a proportion is greater than 0.3 .

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