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91Ó°ÊÓ

A situation is described for a statistical test. In each case, define the relevant parameter(s) and state the null and alternative hypotheses. Testing to see if there is evidence that the percentage of a population who watch the Home Shopping Network is less than \(20 \%\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
The parameter of interest is \(p\), the proportion of the population who watch the Home Shopping Network. The null hypothesis is \(H_0: p \geq 0.20\) and the alternative hypothesis is \(H_a: p < 0.20\).

Step by step solution

01

Define the Parameter

In this case, we define the parameter of interest as \(p\), the proportion or percentage of the population who watch the Home Shopping Network.
02

State the Null Hypothesis

The Null Hypothesis, \(H_0\), is generally a statement of no difference or no effect. Here, we are testing if the percentage is less than 20%. So, our Null Hypothesis is the opposite of this, i.e., that the percentage is NOT less than 20 %. Thus, we have the null hypothesis \(H_0: p \geq 0.20\). That is, the proportion, \(p\), who watch the Home Shopping Network is equal to or greater than 20 %.
03

State the Alternative Hypothesis

The Alternative Hypothesis, \(H_a\), is a claim about the population that we are trying to find evidence for. Our task in this exercise is to test if the percentage is less than 20 %. Therefore, the alternative hypothesis is: \(H_a: p < 0.20\). This states that the proportion, \(p\), who watch the Home Shopping Network is less than 20 %.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In the world of statistics, when we engage in hypothesis testing, we start with the formulation of the **Null Hypothesis**, often denoted as \(H_0\). The null hypothesis is essentially a skeptical perspective. It's a presumption that assumes there is no effect or no difference.
In other words, it suggests that any kind of observed effect is due to chance. In our given exercise, we are investigating whether less than 20% of a population watches the Home Shopping Network.
  • Under the null hypothesis, we assert that the percentage is not less than 20%, specifically \(H_0: p \geq 0.20\).
  • This hypothesis essentially protects against the conclusion that there is a 'real' effect unless there is significant evidence to suggest otherwise.
Rejections of the null hypothesis typically lend support to the assertion that there's enough evidence against it and that the real difference or effect exists as proposed by an alternative hypothesis.
Alternative Hypothesis
The **Alternative Hypothesis**, often denoted as \(H_a\), is what you're hoping to prove with your data. It is a claim that is contradictory to the null hypothesis. This hypothesis suggests that there is an actual effect or difference.
For the exercise at hand, we are tasked with finding evidence that the percentage of the population who watch the Home Shopping Network is less than 20%.
  • The alternative hypothesis in this context is \(H_a: p < 0.20\).
  • This denotes that we are seeking to demonstrate that the true proportion \(p\) is indeed less than 20%.
Finding statistical evidence to support the alternative hypothesis involves calculating various statistics and probabilities, often relying on confidence intervals and p-values. Successfully rejecting the null hypothesis implies that we have significant evidence that the alternative hypothesis is more likely.
Population Parameter
A **Population Parameter** is a numerical value that describes a characteristic of a population. This is distinct from a sample statistic, which is derived from a smaller subset taken from the larger group.
In the exercise you are working on, the population parameter is the proportion, denoted as \(p\), of individuals in the entire population who watch the Home Shopping Network.
  • It's a fixed but often unknown quantity because it's difficult to access data from an entire population.
  • In hypothesis testing, we use sample statistics to make inferences about unknown population parameters.
By examining a sample and employing statistical tests, we aim to make evidence-based predictions or conclusions about the actual proportion \(p\). Understanding population parameters is crucial as they form the foundation on which hypotheses are tested and decisions are made based on the likelihood of various outcomes.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Interpreting a P-value In each case, indicate whether the statement is a proper interpretation of what a p-value measures. (a) The probability the null hypothesis \(H_{0}\) is true. (b) The probability that the alternative hypothesis \(H_{a}\) is true. (c) The probability of seeing data as extreme as the sample, when the null hypothesis \(H_{0}\) is true. (d) The probability of making a Type I error if the null hypothesis \(H_{0}\) is true. (e) The probability of making a Type II error if the alternative hypothesis \(H_{a}\) is true.

Female primates visibly display their fertile window, often with red or pink coloration. Do humans also do this? A study \(^{18}\) looked at whether human females are more likely to wear red or pink during their fertile window (days \(6-14\) of their cycle \()\). They collected data on 24 female undergraduates at the University of British Columbia, and asked each how many days it had been since her last period, and observed the color of her shirt. Of the 10 females in their fertile window, 4 were wearing red or pink shirts. Of the 14 females not in their fertile window, only 1 was wearing a red or pink shirt. (a) State the null and alternative hypotheses. (b) Calculate the relevant sample statistic, \(\hat{p}_{f}-\hat{p}_{n f}\), for the difference in proportion wearing a pink or red shirt between the fertile and not fertile groups. (c) For the 1000 statistics obtained from the simulated randomization samples, only 6 different values of the statistic \(\hat{p}_{f}-\hat{p}_{n f}\) are possible. Table 4.7 shows the number of times each difference occurred among the 1000 randomizations. Calculate the p-value.

For each situation described, indicate whether it makes more sense to use a relatively large significance level (such as \(\alpha=0.10\) ) or a relatively small significance level (such as \(\alpha=0.01\) ). A pharmaceutical company is testing to see whether its new drug is significantly better than the existing drug on the market. It is more expensive than the existing drug. Which significance level would the company prefer? Which significance level would the consumer prefer?

Influencing Voters Exercise 4.39 on page 272 describes a possible study to see if there is evidence that a recorded phone call is more effective than a mailed flyer in getting voters to support a certain candidate. The study assumes a significance level of \(\alpha=0.05\) (a) What is the conclusion in the context of thisstudy if the p-value for the test is \(0.027 ?\) (b) In the conclusion in part (a), which type of error are we possibly making: Type I or Type II? Describe what that type of error means in this situation. (c) What is the conclusion if the p-value for the test is \(0.18 ?\)

Data 4.2 on page 263 describes a study of a possible relationship between the perceived malevolence of a team's uniforms and penalties called against the team. In Example 4.36 on page 326 we construct a randomization distribution to test whether there is evidence of a positive correlation between these two variables for NFL teams. The data in MalevolentUniformsNHL has information on uniform malevolence and penalty minutes (standardized as \(z\) -scores) for National Hockey League (NHL) teams. Use StatKey or other technology to perform a test similar to the one in Example 4.36 using the NHL hockey data. Use a \(5 \%\) significance level and be sure to show all details of the test.

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