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91Ó°ÊÓ

Give information about the proportion of a sample that agrees with a certain statement. Use StatKey or other technology to estimate the standard error from a bootstrap distribution generated from the sample. Then use the standard error to give a \(95 \%\) confidence interval for the proportion of the population to agree with the statement. StatKey tip: Use "CI for Single Proportion" and then "Edit Data" to enter the sample information. In a random sample of 250 people, 180 agree.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The estimated sample proportion is 0.72, the estimated standard error using bootstrapping is 0.027, and the 95% confidence interval based on bootstrapping is from 0.667 to 0.773.

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the sample proportion

For this problem, the sample proportion is calculated as the number of people who agree divided by the total sample size. In this case, the sample size is 250 people and 180 of them agree. The sample proportion \(p\) is then given by \(p = 180/250 = 0.72\). This is the proportion of people who agree in the sample.
02

Use bootstrapping to estimate the standard error

To estimate the standard error, we would typically use a program like StatKey to generate bootstrap samples. This involves resampling with replacement from the original sample of 250 people and calculating the proportion who agree for each bootstrap sample. The standard error is then the standard deviation of these bootstrapped proportions. However, as an approximation, the standard error \(SE\) can also be estimated without bootstrapping using the formula \(SE = \sqrt{p(1 - p)/n}\) where \(n\) is the sample size. Therefore, \(SE = \sqrt{0.72*(1 - 0.72)/250} = 0.027\).
03

Compute a 95% confidence interval

The 95% confidence interval can be approximated as \(p \pm 1.96*SE\). Plugging in the values calculated above, this gives a 95% confidence interval of \(0.72 \pm 1.96*0.027\). This interval goes from \(0.72 - 1.96*0.027\) to \(0.72 + 1.96*0.027\), or \(0.667\) to \(0.773\). This is the range in which we expect the true proportion of the entire population that agrees with the statement to lie 95% of the time.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Bootstrap Distribution
Bootstrap distribution is a clever statistical concept, used to estimate the variability in data, especially when calculating standard errors. When working with a sample, it can be tough to estimate how much sample statistics like the mean or proportion vary from what they would be if we had the entire population.

This is where bootstrapping comes in handy. The idea here is to resample given data with replacement. What this means is that you take a sample, calculate some statistics (like a mean or a proportion), then do it again and again, each time pulling from the initial data set as if you were taking a new sample.
  • This cycle repeats a large number of times, sometimes thousands or more, to create what's known as a bootstrap distribution.
  • Each of these resamples can look somewhat different because it's with replacement. So, each one can include some data points more than once and others not at all.
  • The key is that these repeated sampling exercises closely mimic what it would be like if we were taking new samples from the population each time.
In practice, computing a bootstrap distribution can be done using statistical software like StatKey. These tools simplify the process, allowing users to visualize the variability of their data and draw valid conclusions about their sample's communal behavior.
Sample Proportion
The sample proportion is a simple but powerful concept in statistics, especially when trying to understand large populations based on a sample. Generally, it represents the ratio of individuals within a sample who have a specific attribute.

In the example problem, we take a sample of 250 people, out of whom 180 agree with a specific statement. In such scenarios, the sample proportion, denoted as \( p \), is calculated as follows:
  • Take the number of "successes" in a sample, where a success is a person agreeing in this context.
  • Divide this count by the total number of individuals in the sample.
In mathematical terms, this is written as \( p = \frac{180}{250} = 0.72 \).
Understanding sample proportions is crucial because they provide the groundwork for further statistical estimations and hypothesis tests. It's vital to remember that the sample proportion is an estimate of the true population proportion. Hence, different samples might give slightly different proportions even when taken from the same population.
Standard Error
The standard error is a statistical measure that captures how much the sample proportion is expected to vary from sample to sample. It's an important component when constructing confidence intervals, as it helps quantify uncertainty.

To calculate standard error, especially for proportions, bootstrapping can be applied to generate a fair estimate. Alternatively, a formulaic approach is also quite common:
  • Given a sample proportion \( p \), calculate \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{p(1 - p)}{n}} \), where \( n \) is the sample size.
In our given scenario, the sample size \( n = 250 \) and sample proportion \( p = 0.72 \), yield a standard error \( SE = \sqrt{\frac{0.72(1 - 0.72)}{250}} = 0.027 \).

The standard error reflects how much we'd expect our sample proportion to jump around if we took numerous samples from the population at hand. A smaller standard error suggests our sample proportion is fairly stable across different samples, providing us a stronger confidence in our data-driven estimates. Understanding and calculating the standard error helps in constructing more reliable confidence intervals and making better-informed decisions in research.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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In a random sample of 1000 people, 382 people agree, 578 disagree, and 40 are undecided.

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