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Using the data in the StudentSurvey dataset, we use technology to find that a regression line to predict weight (in pounds) from height (in inches) is \(\widehat{\text { Weigh }} t=-170+4.82(\) Height \()\) (a) What weight does the line predict for a person who is 5 feet tall ( 60 inches)? What weight is predicted for someone 6 feet tall ( 72 inches)? (b) What is the slope of the line? Interpret it in context. (c) What is the intercept of the line? If it is reasonable to do so, interpret it in context. If it is not reasonable, explain why not. (d) What weight does the regression line predict for a baby who is 20 inches long? Why is it not appropriate to use the regression line in this case?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Predicted weight for 5 feet tall person is 118 pounds and for 6 feet tall person is 176.84 lbs. The slope is 4.82, meaning for each one inch increase in height, weight increases by 4.82 pounds. The intercept is -170, but it doesn't have a valid interpretation. As for a baby of 20 inches, the model predicts negative weight (-26.6 lbs), making it inappropriate in this context.

Step by step solution

01

Prediction for 5 feet and 6 feet tall person

Using the regression equation, \(\widehat{\text { Weight }}=-170+4.82(\text { Height })\), we need to substitute the heights in inches, i.e., 60 inches, and 72 inches respectively. For 60 inches, it will be \(\widehat{\text { Weight }}=-170+4.82( 60) = 118 lbs\) and for 72 inches, \(\widehat{\text { Weight }}=-170+4.82( 72) = 176.84 lbs\).
02

Slope Interpretation

The slope of the regression line is 4.82. It means, for each increase of one inch in height, the model predicts an increase in weight of approximately 4.82 pounds.
03

Intercept Interpretation

The Y-intercept of the line is -170, which represents the predicted weight for a person with zero height. However, this is practically impossible and not reasonable, so there is no valid interpretation in this context.
04

Prediction for a baby

For a baby of 20 inches height, the regression line predicts \(\widehat{\text{Weight}}=-170+4.82( 20) = -26.6 lbs\). This is obviously not reasonable as weight can’t be negative. Therefore, it is not appropriate to apply this regression line for babies because the original data set didn’t apply to babies and thus, it doesn’t fit well within the infants' height-weight proportionality.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Prediction
When using regression analysis, prediction is a key feature that allows us to estimate the dependent variable based on the independent variable. In our exercise, we're predicting weight from height. To find the predicted weight, we insert the height values into the regression equation \(\widehat{\text { Weight }} = -170 + 4.82(\text { Height })\). For example, for a person 60 inches tall, the predicted weight is 118 pounds. Similarly, for a person 72 inches tall, it would be 176.84 pounds.

It's essential to ensure that the predictions are within the available data range to maintain accuracy. In our problem, predicting for heights outside this range, like 20 inches, leads to unreasonable results, such as a negative weight prediction, indicating that the model isn't suitable for these values.
Regression Line
The regression line in a dataset represents the best-fit line that explains how one variable affects another. It is formed using the equation of the line, often expressed as \(y = mx + c\), where \(m\) is the slope and \(c\) is the intercept.

This line helps visualize the relationship between two variables, in our case, height and weight. The specific equation \(-170 + 4.82(\text{Height})\) indicates this relationship clearly and helps make predictions.
  • The negative intercept tells us that the line starts from a logically impossible point (as zero height isn't feasible in real scenarios), but it's chosen to minimize errors across the dataset.
  • The line thus helps quantify how changes in height might correlate with changes in weight.
Slope Interpretation
The slope in regression analysis is a critical component. It represents how much the dependent variable (weight) changes for every one-unit change in the independent variable (height). In our example, the slope is 4.82.

This means for each additional inch in height, the weight is predicted to increase by 4.82 pounds on average. It gives an insight into the strength and direction of the relationship between height and weight. A positive slope value like 4.82 also indicates a positive correlation between the two variables; as height increases, so does weight.
  • Understanding the slope is vital for evaluating the trend the regression line indicates. In practical contexts, it helps determine if predictions align with expectations when data is collected under similar conditions.
Intercept Interpretation
The intercept of a regression line is where the line crosses the vertical axis, representing the predicted value when all independent variables are zero. In our equation, the intercept is \(-170\).

However, interpreting this value requires caution. It represents the predicted weight for a height of zero, which is impractical. Therefore, in our context, this numerical value doesn't hold real world meaning.
  • This does not invalidate the regression model. It merely reflects that the model is designed to work within a particular range of data and can't reliably predict beyond that scope.
  • Understanding this limitation prevents the misuse of the regression equation in inappropriate contexts, such as predicting the weight of individuals (or babies) outside the dataset's range.

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