/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 27 A \(90 \%\) confidence interval ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

91Ó°ÊÓ

A \(90 \%\) confidence interval for \(p\) given that \(\hat{p}=0.85\) and \(n=120\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
The result should be the width of the 90% confidence interval for the proportion \(p\).

Step by step solution

01

Identifying the Given Values and the Confidence Level

From the equation, the following values are provided:\nThe sample proportion, \(\hat{p}\), is 0.85, the sample size, \(n\), is 120, and the level of confidence is 90%.
02

Calculate the critical value for Z (Z*)

Z* is found from the standard normal distribution for a given level of confidence. For a 90% confidence interval, the Z* value is 1.645.
03

Substitute the Known Values into the Confidence Interval Formula

Substitute \(\hat{p} = 0.85\), \(n = 120\), and \(Z* = 1.645\) into the confidence interval formula \(\hat{p} ± Z* \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1- \hat{p})}{n}}\).
04

Evaluate the Mathematical Expression

Evaluate the right side of the equation to obtain the range for the confidence interval. The calculations will result in \(\hat{p} ± Z* \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1- \hat{p})}{n}} = 0.85 ± 1.645 * \sqrt{\frac{0.85(1 - 0.85)}{120}}\). After calculation, we find the range for the 90% confidence interval.

Unlock Step-by-Step Solutions & Ace Your Exams!

  • Full Textbook Solutions

    Get detailed explanations and key concepts

  • Unlimited Al creation

    Al flashcards, explanations, exams and more...

  • Ads-free access

    To over 500 millions flashcards

  • Money-back guarantee

    We refund you if you fail your exam.

Over 30 million students worldwide already upgrade their learning with 91Ó°ÊÓ!

Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Proportion
The sample proportion, denoted as \(\hat{p}\), plays a critical role in statistics, particularly when working with categorical data. It represents the proportion of successes or specific outcomes of interest observed in a sample. For instance, if you wish to know the percentage of students who passed an exam in a certain class, the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) is equal to the number of students who passed divided by the total number of students in the class.

When computing a confidence interval, the sample proportion provides an estimate of the true proportion, or population proportion, based on the sampled data. It's crucial to understand that \(\hat{p}\) is just an estimate and may vary from sample to sample; that's where confidence intervals come into play. They allow us to establish a range of plausible values for the population proportion, with a certain level of certainty, based on the sample proportion.

In your given exercise, the sample proportion \(\hat{p}\) is 0.85, indicating that, for example, 85% of a sample of size 120 exhibited the characteristic of interest. This \(\hat{p}\) is the cornerstone for subsequent calculations of the confidence interval.
Sample Size
The sample size, denoted as \(n\), is simply the number of observations included in the sample. It's a fundamental concept in statistics because it affects the precision of our estimates. Generally speaking, larger sample sizes tend to produce more reliable estimates of a population parameter, such as the population proportion.

Why is sample size so significant when calculating confidence intervals? As you increase your sample size, the margin of error within your confidence interval tends to decrease. This means that you can be more confident that your interval includes the true population parameter. The math behind this involves the calculation of standard error, as the standard error decreases with an increasing sample size.

In the context of your exercise, with a sample size of 120, we have enough information to compute the standard error and the confidence interval for the population proportion. Remember, a smaller sample size might widen the interval due to more considerable variability, while a larger sample size could tighten it.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution, often referred to as the Z-distribution, is a special case of the normal distribution. It's defined to have a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one. This distribution is used extensively in statistics, particularly in the realm of inferential statistics, where it helps determine how far our sample statistic deviates from what we would expect if the null hypothesis were true.

In the calculation of confidence intervals for the sample proportion, we use the Z-distribution to find critical values (often denoted as \(Z*\)). These critical values serve as multipliers for the standard error in the confidence interval formula to capture the desired level of confidence. For instance, if you want to be 90% confident, you identify the \(Z*\) value that holds 90% of the distribution's probability in the center, and that value serves as the cut-off for your interval.

In the given exercise solution, the critical value \(Z*\) of 1.645 corresponds to a 90% level of confidence. It specifies how many standard errors to go above and below the sample proportion to obtain the interval. This is crucial, as it ensures that the interval you calculate appropriately reflects the confidence level you desire to maintain in your estimate.

One App. One Place for Learning.

All the tools & learning materials you need for study success - in one app.

Get started for free

Most popular questions from this chapter

6.8 Percent over 600 on Math SAT In the class of \(2010,25 \%\) of students taking the Mathematics portion of the SAT (Scholastic Aptitude Test) \(^{3}\) scored over a 600 . If we take random samples of 100 members of the class of 2010 and compute the proportion who got over a 600 on the Math SAT for each sample, what will be the mean and standard deviation of the distribution of sample proportions?

In Exercises 6.153 to \(6.158,\) if random samples of the given sizes are drawn from populations with the given proportions: (a) Find the mean and standard error of the distribution of differences in sample proportions, \(\hat{p}_{A}-\hat{p}_{B}\) (b) If the sample sizes are large enough for the Central Limit Theorem to apply, draw a curve showing the shape of the sampling distribution. Include at least three values on the horizontal axis. Samples of size 50 from population \(A\) with proportion 0.70 and samples of size 75 from population \(B\) with proportion 0.60

Number of Bedrooms in Houses in New York and New Jersey The dataset HomesForSale has data on houses available for sale in three Mid-Atlantic states (NY, NJ, and PA). For this exercise we are specifically interested in homes for sale in New York and New Jersey. We have information on 30 homes from each state and observe the proportion of homes with more than three bedrooms. We find that \(26.7 \%\) of homes in NY \(\left(\hat{p}_{N Y}\right)\) and \(63.3 \%\) of homes in NJ \(\left(\hat{p}_{N J}\right)\) have more then three bedrooms. (a) Is the normal distribution appropriate to model this difference? (b) Test for a difference in proportion of homes with more than three bedrooms between the two states and interpret the result.

The dataset BaseballHits gives 2010 season statistics for all Major League Baseball teams. We treat this as a sample of all MLB teams in all years. Computer output of descriptive statistics for the variable giving the batting average is shown: $$ \begin{aligned} &\text { Descriptive Statistics: BattingAvg }\\\ &\begin{array}{lrrrrr} \text { Variable } & \mathrm{N} & \mathrm{N}^{*} & \text { Mean } & \text { SE Mean } & \text { StDev } \\ \text { BattingAvg } & 30 & 0 & 0.25727 & 0.00190 & 0.01039 \\ \text { Minimum } & & \text { Q1 } & \text { Median } & \text { Q3 } & \text { Maximum } \\ 0.23600 & 0.24800 & 0.25700 & 0.26725 & 0.27600 \end{array} \end{aligned} $$ (a) How many teams are included in the dataset? What is the mean batting average? What is the standard deviation? (b) Use the descriptive statistics above to conduct a hypothesis test to determine whether there is evidence that average team batting average is different from \(0.250 .\) Show all details of the test. (c) Compare the test statistic and p-value you found in part (b) to the computer output below for the same data:

If random samples of the given sizes are drawn from populations with the given proportions: (a) Find the mean and standard error of the distribution of differences in sample proportions, \(\hat{p}_{A}-\hat{p}_{B}\) (b) If the sample sizes are large enough for the Central Limit Theorem to apply, draw a curve showing the shape of the sampling distribution. Include at least three values on the horizontal axis. Samples of size 500 from population \(A\) with proportion 0.58 and samples of size 200 from population \(B\) with proportion 0.49

See all solutions

Recommended explanations on Math Textbooks

View all explanations

What do you think about this solution?

We value your feedback to improve our textbook solutions.

Study anywhere. Anytime. Across all devices.